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Raiders

Bob Miller’s 2021 NFL Mock Draft

April 26, 2021 by Bob Miller

by Bob Miller

 

1. Jacksonville Jaguars - Trevor Lawrence (QB - Clemson)

Do I really need to give a reason? He's the best QB prospect since Andrew Luck. Done.

2. NY Jets - Zach Wilson (QB - BYU)

Wilson's athletic ability, accuracy from the pocket and on the run, and leadership makes him a no brainer here for the Jets.

3. San Francisco 49ers - Justin Fields (QB - Ohio State)

The 49ers play Russell Wilson and Kyler Murray twice a year. They know what kind of a problem that type of quarterback is to defend. San Francisco decides that they need one of those QBs as well.

4. Denver Broncos - Trey Lance (QB - North Dakota State) Trade w/ Atlanta

Ladies and gentlemen, we have a trade! Atlanta trades the 4th pick to the Denver Broncos. After Denver failed to trade for Deshaun Watson, they decide that they won't fail again. They move up to get the their man, a mobile quarterback with a big arm for those cold games. Trey Lance fits that perfectly. Teddy Bridgewater is not their future, Trey Lance is.

5. Cincinnati Bengals - Ja’Marr Chase (WR - LSU)

Lots of mock drafts have Oregon LT Penei Sewell going here to the Bengals. Not mine. Ja'Marr Chase is the undisputed #1 wide receiver in this draft. Tackle is deeper is this draft than the past few years. They'll get one in the 2nd or 3rd. Cincinnati just can't pass on the opportunity to reunite Joe Burrow and his favorite WR. 

6. Miami Dolphins - Kyle Pitts (TE - Florida)

The Dolphins are thrilled to get Kyle Pitts. This once in a generation TE talent is just what they need to ensure that Tua Tagovailoa has every opportunity to succeed.

7. New England Patriots - Mac Jones (QB - Alabama) Trade w/ Detroit

We have our 2nd trade of the day! Detroit has been targeting WR Jaylen Waddle here for quite some time, but New England makes an offer that Detroit can't refuse. The Patriots get their guy! Jones needs the right situation to be successful in the NFL. What better situation to be in than being coached by Bill Belichick.

8. Carolina Panthers - Penei Sewell (LT - Oregon)

Sewell has dropped far enough. Carolina is in desperate need of a LT. Sewell starts day one and is the staple of their offensive line for the next decade.

9. Atlanta Falcons - Patrick Surtain II (CB - Alabama)

Defense is the priority for Atlanta. They traded back from pick #4 knowing that they were going to get one of the best corners available. They just happen to land the absolute best corner in this year's draft.

10. Dallas Cowboys - Jaycee Horn (CB - South Carolina)

Dallas fans are left disappointed after Patrick Surtain II gets sniped the pick before them. With cornerback being a major priority they take the best corner available. Horn is fast, physical, and will step in and start day one.

11. NY Giants - Jaelan Phillips (EDGE - Miami)

Phillips is arguably the most talented edge rusher in this class. He has had some injuries but is absolutely worth taking at pick #11. He will fill the void needed since Jason Pierre-Paul left years ago.

12. Philadelphia Eagles - Devonta Smith (WR - Alabama)

A dream come true for Philadelphia Eagles fans. They are in dire need for a WR, so what better than the unstoppable Heisman Trophy Winner. He is a bit undersized, but he's played that way his entire career. Congrats to Jaylen Hurts on getting a shiny new toy.

13. LA Chargers - Rashawn Slater (LT - Northwestern)

Los Angeles failed to land LT Orlando Brown Jr. from the Ravens. They didn't want to give what Baltimore was asking, because they knew they could land their franchise LT in this draft. Slater will be a very good left tackle in the NFL protecting Justin Herbert's blind side for years to come.

14. Minnesota Vikings - Kwity Paye (EDGE - Michigan)

Minnesota doesn’t have a second-round pick this year, so trading back is definitely a possibility. Adding a pass-rusher with this type of agility and strength opposite of Danielle Hunter may be just too hard to pass up.

15. Detroit Lions - Jaylen Waddle (WR - Alabama)

How about that. Detroit trades back with the hopes that Waddle would still be available, and he is. Waddle is a weapon that Detroit will use in many different ways. With the loss of Kenny Golladay via free agency, Waddle will targeted early and often.

16. Arizona Cardinals - Caleb Farley (CB - Virginia Tech)

With a glaring hole in the secondary left by Patrick Peterson, Arizona has to walk out of the first two rounds with a CB. Farley would have been a top-10 pick, but has fallen a bit due to the back injury concerns. Arizona believes that the reward outweighs the risk here.

17. Las Vegas Raiders - Micah Parsons (LB - Penn State)

This just makes too much sense. The Raiders need major help at linebacker, and Parsons is the best LB in this draft. Character issues prevents Parsons from being taken in the top 10, but that's not a concern for GM Mike Mayock. Jon Gruden may hurt himself running to the phone to call in this pick.

18. Miami Dolphins - Azeez Ojulari (EDGE - Georgia)

Azeez Ojulari is an edge defender with incredible speed and explosiveness. His upside is just to good for Miami to pass up.

19.Washington - Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah (LB - Notre Dame)

Washington is very thin at LB. JOK is an extremely fast linebacker that can line up against slot receivers and deliver a big pop to outside runs. This combined with his leadership makes this a big get for the Football Team.

20. Chicago Bears - Christian Darrisaw (LT - Virginia Tech)

Chicago considers going with WR Rashod Bateman here, but LT is a bigger need for the Bears. Darrisaw is a top tier OT, and is too good of a value here to pass up. Chicago can grab a WR in the next couple of rounds.

21. Indianapolis Colts - Alijah Vera-Tucker (OT – USC)

Left Tackle is by far the biggest need for the Colts, and Vera-Tucker is a versatile, athletic, and strong lineman that can line up anywhere. That won't matter as the Colts will plug him in at LT immediately.

22. Tennessee Titans - Rashod Bateman (WR - Minnesota)

The Titans "had" 2 major needs: Pass rush and wide receiver. They addressed the pass rushing need via free agency by signing Bud Dupree and Denico Autry. Now they need to replace the hole at WR with Corey Davis leaving for New York. They get a solid replacement in Rashod Bateman.

23. NY Jets - Greg Newsome (CB- Northwestern)

Cornerback is a major weakness for the Jets. Head Coach Robert Saleh is going to be thrilled that he lands a talent such as Newsome here.

24. Pittsburgh Steelers - Gregory Rousseau (EDGE - Miami)

Pittsburgh has to replace EDGE with the loss of Bud Dupree. Rousseau is an absolute freak. He is 6'6/260 and has incredible reach. He has tremendous length for the position, and he's still building out his frame. He is still a little raw, but his upside is amazing.

25. Jacksonville Jaguars - Trevon Moehrig (S - TCU)

The best safety in this draft falls to the team that needs him the most. Jacksonville can use quite a bit of help on defense, and they get it here. Moehrig has great acceleration and closes on the ball quickly. He's a playmaker that Jacksonville desperately needs.

26. Cleveland Browns - Zaven Collins (LB - Tulsa)

Collins is a big, physical, and mobile linebacker that covers the middle of the field. He is fantastic against the run, which Cleveland will need to help them get over the hump against teams like Baltimore. He fills a need for Cleveland.

27. Baltimore Ravens - Joe Tryon (EDGE - Washington)

Baltimore has 3 holes to fill: EDGE, OT, and WR. Joe Tryon has elite upside as a pass rusher and will make an immediate impact for the Ravens. He opted out of the 2020 season, but his 2019 tape is fantastic. He has the potential to produce double digit sacks his rookie year in that Baltimore defense.

28. New Orleans Saints - Asante Samuel Jr. (CB - Florida State)

We all know about the Saints' salary cap situation. I wouldn't be surprised to see New Orleans trade back here, but their secondary is the top priority. They are in bad shape behind Marshon Lattimore, so drafting Samuel here makes all the sense in the world.

29. Green Bay Packers - Terrace Marshall (WR - LSU)

It's no secret that Green Bay needs help at WR behind Davante Adams. Marshall has size, speed, and great hands. He is a big target that is a mismatch for opposing corners. He will be a welcomed addition to the Packers offense.

30. Buffalo Bills - Joseph Ossai (EDGE - Texas)

I almost went with Najee Harris here, but EDGE is a bigger need for this team. They can get a RB in the next rounds. Ossai has a high motor and  high upside. He has great size and a very strong lower body. He is built for the NFL, and should be a solid EDGE defender that the Bills need.

31. Baltimore Ravens - Teven Jenkins (OT - Oklahoma State)

The Ravens were really hoping that Rashod Bateman or Terrace Marshall would fall to them here, but unfortunately that doesn't happen.  Rumor is the Ravens are shopping this pick. I'm 50/50 on the them trading back, because they already have 9 picks. With that being said they draft Teven Jenkins, a big, nasty RT with incredible size and strength. He's an elite pass protector and a fantastic run blocker. He fits right in where Orlando Brown left off.

32. Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Jayson Oweh (EDGE - Penn State)

Jason Pierre-Paul isn't getting any younger, and Oweh will be a great replacement when the time comes. He has a ton of talent but has a bit to learn. He lands in the perfect situation in Tampa. He can be a situational player for now and learn from two great pass rushers in JPP and Shaq Barrett.

 

I want to give a special thanks to @McManusDesigns, @SwapKingdom, @SchapDesign, @Golden.GRFX, @SnaggyGFX, and @DesignedbyFranco for the awesome jersey swaps!

You can follow me on twitter at @BaltimoreBobFF

 

 

Bob Miller
Bob Miller

Bob Miller founded Dynasty Pros in 2019 after spending several years writing and ranking for various websites. Bob has been playing fantasy football for over 25 years. He is very experienced in a variety of different formats including Dynasty, Redraft, IDP, & Best Ball. Bob is especially passionate about IDP, as he has developed the Dynasty Pros IDP Scoring System that is used by thousands of IDP Leagues today. His sole mission is to help everyone win their Fantasy League’s Championship.

www.DynastyProsFootball.com

Filed Under: IDP Tagged With: 49ers, Arizona Cardinals, Atlanta Falcons, Baltimore Ravens, Bears, Bengals, Bills, Broncos, Browns, Buccaneers, Bucs, Buffalo Bills, Carolina Panthers, Chargers, Chicago Bears, Chiefs, Cincinnati Bengals, Cleveland Browns, Colts, Cowboys, Dallas, Dallas Cowboys, Defensive Backs, Defensive Line, Denver Broncos, Detroit Lions, Dolphins, Dynasty League, Dynasty League Trade, Eagles, Falcons, Fantasy Football, Fantasy Football Trade, Fantasy Sleepers, Giants, Green Bay Packers, Gregory Rousseau, IDP, Indianapolis Colts, Individual Defensive Players, Ja'Marr Chase, Jacksonville Jaguars, Jags, Jaguars, Jets, Justin Fields, Kansas City Chiefs, Kyle Pitts, LA Chargers, LA Rams, Las Vegas Raiders, Left Tackle, Linebackers, Lions, Los Angeles Chargers, Los Angeles Rams, LV Raiders, Mac Jones, Miami Dolphins, Minnesota Vikings, Najee Harris, New England Patriots, New Orleans Saints, New York Giants, New York Jets, NFL Draft, NFL Mock Draft, NY Giants, Packers, Panthers, Patriots, Pats, Philadelphia Eagles, Pittsburgh Steelers, Quarterbacks, Raiders, Rams, Ravens, Rookies, Running Backs, Saints, San Francisco 49ers, Seahawks, Seattle Seahawks, SF 49ers, Steelers, Tampa Bay Buccaneers, TB Buccaneers, Tennessee Titans, Texans, Tight Ends, Titans, Travis Etienne, Trevor Lawrence, Vikings, Washington Football Team, Wide Receivers

AFC West 2020 Fantasy Breakdown

September 13, 2020 by Steve Uetz

AFC West 2020 Fantasy Breakdown

By Steve Uetz

Our FINAL stop in the team breakdown by divison is a division that has one of each draft target category. The AFC West has 1 FADE, 1 NEUTRAL, 1 BUY, and 1 BIG BUY. Before we get into the division featuring the reigning Super Bowl Champs, here is a reminder of what the team breakdowns are all about!

The team breakdowns will contain an overarching theme for each team or more specifically each offensive core. The offensive cores will be organized into four categories: FADE, NEUTRAL, BUY, and BIG BUY! ADP and auction values will somewhat reflect this but I will be adding some personal perspective with keeping some rules of thumb in mind.

Rule of Thumb #1: Each offensive core may have specific player exceptions.

Rule of Thumb #2: Every player has value at the right price.

The breakdowns will include the players to target from each team, the players’ ideal positional count for your roster, target cost for auction budget % and round #, league type preferences, along with optional blurbs from yours truly. Throughout the team breakdowns be sure to keep your eyes wide open looking for the players with coveted “Ladder Pick” label. The “Ladder Pick” players are who I have identified as those who will help you climb the ladder of fantasy football success for the 2020 season.

I have 6 teams whose offensive core make up the BIG BUY category, 8 teams in the BUY category, 12 teams in the NEUTRAL category, and the remaining 6 teams will generally be considered as a FADE. Just so we are on the same page…BIG BUY=offensive cores to target aggressively; BUY=offensive cores that are reach worthy; NEUTRAL=offensive cores (with some players exceptions both positive and negative) to be drafted at value – not to be reached for nor to be shied away from; FADE=offensive cores to pass on at consensus ranking, players to be drafted weighing risk, or players to be drafted only if at a value, larger the discount the better; always!

Los Angeles Chargers

With significant offensive changes, the LA Chargers come into this season as a FADE. Having some very weapons questions of QB play and quality linger, which as an overarching theme matters the most in real and fantasy football.

QB Tyrod Taylor and Justin Herbert: Deep league priority FAs for matchup streaming. Taylor has shown to be a useful fantasy option in years past but the young gun 1st round rookie, Herbert, is waiting wings for his opportunity to shine.

RB Austin Ekeler: “Ladder Pick”, low RB1, High RB2, 18-20% auction, early round 2, Ekeler remains a PPR monster and without Melvin Gordon in front of him he has tremendous upside. QB Taylor will look to be an efficient passer looking early and often for Ekeler! I’m smashing his name if he is available in the 2nd round!

RB Justin Jackson and Joshua Kelley: Both late round pick or $1 deep auction, both are end of bench RB options with Melvin Gordon gone, opportunity knocks, both are talented and present plenty of upside. Even in a lesser offense, opportunity is appealing for fantasy. I prefer Kelley to Jackson but I’m going to keep a close eye on both!

WR Keenan Allen: Low-WR2 to high-WR3, 8-9% Auction, round 5, Tyrod isn’t known for his deep passing game, so that already will limit Allen’s upside. BUT Keenan Allen is an amazing talent and defensive separator that he could make Tyrod life very easy with his silky smooth route running!

Love the player and targeting him despite non-ideal QB situation.

WR Mike Williams: WR5, round 13, 1-2% auction, big play threat may be the latest unappealing piece of this offense with Tyrod under center. Not to mention his shoulder injury may keep him out for the month or so of the season.

(Keenan Allen may be a nice sell high candidate after the first couple weeks)

I like the idea of Mike Williams and the potential of what he can bring to the field but am worried how the QB play may limit his upside and general draft/weekly stock.

TE Hunter Henry: TE1, 3-4% auction, round 10, Henry is a great player when he is healthy! I believe Henry and Ekeler will benefit the most from Tyrod’s style of play. Having said that, I will be drafting a lot of Henry since I value him above his ADP.

Las Vegas Raiders

The Raiders complete their move from the bay to the desert. The Raiders will be NEUTRAL for fantasy purposes for the inaugural Las Vegas season! Young promising talent is there which makes fantasy feasting a possibility.

QB Derek Carr: QB2, deep league priority FA, in the past Carr has been able to be useful for fantasy but the QB position is so deep that it’s likely he won’t be needed outside of a total catastrophe. Good and young weapons surround him, so matchup specific upside is there.

RB Josh Jacobs: RB1, 20-21% auction, round 2, an impressive rookie campaign was capped due to a shoulder injury. He remains the top rusher in this offense, but lacks pass-catching upside with the depth behind him on the roster. He will show why he was a 1st round talent!

RB Jalen Richard:  Late round selection in deep leagues or priority FA. Raiders have potential to be playing from behind, so rostering pass catching options like this may be valuable, especially for PPR.

WR Henry Ruggs: “Ladder Pick”, WR4-5, 3-4% auction, round 12, Las Vegas selected Ruggs as the top WR in the draft. This is quite significant since they passed on Jeudy and Lamb to do so. Ruggs has unique speed and think the team will find creative ways of getting the ball in his hands.

He is a player I will be aggressively targeting in all draft formats. In the back half of drafts if I am able to get someone who I believe can be the next Tyreek Hill, I think it would be foolish to pass up on that kind of opportunity. Best ball target!

WRs Bryan Edwards and Hunter Renfroe are both deep league late round stashes. Also worth an end of bench pick in 12 team leagues! Both can be a nice way to round out your bench. Edwards fits perfectly as the X receiver, I am very excited for his potential! Renfroe has PPR upside!

TE Darren Waller: TE1, 4-5% auction, round 8, Waller is somebody that everyone is rooting for. His personal story is a wonderful reminder that football is more than a game but also an opportunity to display personal redemption in magnificent fashion. He could be the focal point of this passing game and be a matchup nightmare for defenses!

Denver Broncos

The Broncos made one thing very clear over the last year: Drew Lock is their man! The Denver offense has some new upgrades which makes their squad a Buy!

QB Drew Lock: QB2, priority FA, because QB is so deep we can look to add Lock for bye week/injury replacement! With a full arsenal around him he is being set up to succeed, let’s hope he is up to the task!

RB Melvin Gordon: RB2, 9-10% auction, round 5, Gordon finds a new home in the same division. Narrative street truthers are salivating at the Broncos-Chargers matchups this season! Gordon is an upgrade to the RB group, but his value will be correlated to Lock’s success!

RB Phillip Lindsay: RB4, 4% auction, round 9-10, Lindsay can still be utilized as a FLEX in a deep league but is a nice bench stash being part of what should be a good offense. He will enter RB2 territory if Gordon were to miss time!

WR Courtland Sutton: WR2, 13-14% auction, round 3, Sutton had a breakout season and became one of the highest ranks risers from 2019 to 2020. Surrounded by good complimentary pieces, some drafters have shied away but I think it will only help him as he should still dominate targets in this offense.

WR Jerry Jeudy: WR4, 4-5% auction, round 10, Jeudy somehow lasted to Denver at 15th overall. This was an easy selection for the Broncos as he was arguably the most pro-ready WR prospect in the draft! A great compliment to Sutton, Drew Lock is a lucky man!

WR KJ Hamler: Priority FA, Hamler is a unique talent with amazing speed, another piece of this offense that has cemented Denver’s trust in Drew Lock! Denver got him in the 2nd even after landing Jeudy! Best ball stash, I’m very exciting to see what he is able to do in the NFL!

TE Noah Fant: Low-TE1, 2% auction, round 12, impressive rookie campaigns are rare for TEs but he is very athletic and really adds to the versatility of Denver’s offensive core. I’ll look for him to improve on a successful year 1.

It’s all on Drew Lock, Denver believes that he is their guy. I will not hesitate to pounce on Lock this year, it could payoff in a big way! Not much to lose taking a chance on him as your QB2.

Kansas City Chiefs

The reigning super bowl champs are a BIG BUY! Patrick Mahomes alone gives each piece of the core upside, but upside exists already with high caliber talent surrounding the big-armed Mahomes!

QB Patrick Mahomes: The QB1, my QB1, 10% Auction, round 4, I typically like to wait on QB but Mahomes (like Lamar Jackson) are very tempting if you absolutely love your first 3 picks. A full aresenal surrounds this dynamic thrower. I don’t see any SB hangover in KC!

RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire: RB1, 24-26% auction, late round 1, CEH was part of the monster LSU national champion team, KC thought so too by selecting him as the 1st RB in the draft! This is significant because of the RB class that he was a part of.

Andy Reid’s RB history speaks for itself! CEH is a pass catching back in an elite offense where he scoring upside for himself as well as rushing upside at the end of games when KC has a big league. He is no-brainer top 10 RB worthy of 1st round selection!

RB Darrel Williams: late round-$1 Auction stash.  We want players in elite offenses such as this! If CEH busts as a rookie or misses time, both become potential FLEX options or more!

WR Tyreek Hill: WR1 (my WR3), 21-22% auction, round 2, Hill is simultaneously a floor and ceiling play each week. He can bust a matchup wide open with his big play and YAC ability! I hope to see a lot of peace signs from him this season!

WRs Mecole Hardman (WR5, 1-2% auction, round 13) and Sammy Watkins (WR5, $1-2 auction, end of bench WR stash) present massive boom bust potential, both are Best Ball targets and will big trade prices throughout the season! Health is Watkins main concern as targets is Hardman’s.

TE Travis Kelce: The TE1, 15-16% auction, round 2, Kelce like Kittle is worth the 2nd round selection, TE is deep but these 2 are in a tier of their own as they can be true difference makers week to week! How is a defense supposed to stop this team?!

High scoring contests seem likely, should be enough feasting to go around but any opposing teams offensive weapons in general have inherent upside against the Chiefs since teams will have to be aggressive if they want to have a shot against KC! Fun will be had if your roster some Chiefs!

Steve Uetz

Steve Uetz has over 15 years of experience in fantasy football. He enjoys writing fantasy football content and articles. He is very passionate about Auction Leagues. Other than his own fantasy football teams, Steve is a huge fan of the Philadelphia Eagles & Penn State! Steve (@FantasyLadder on Twitter) is very accessible and involved in the Fantasy Football Twitter community! Reach out to him anytime for questions or advice! His primary goal is to help you win your leagues.

twitter.com/FantasyLadder

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Austin Ekeler, Broncos, Bryan Edwards, Chargers, Chiefs, Clyde Edwards-Helaire, Courtland Sutton, Darrel Williams, Darren Waller, Denver Broncos, Derek Carr, Drew Lock, Henry Ruggs, Hunter Henry, Hunter Renfroe, Jalen Richard, Jerry Jeudy, Josh Jacobs, Joshua Kelley, Justin Herbert, Justin Jackson, Kansas City Chiefs, Keenan Allen, KJ Hamler, Las Vegas Raiders, Los Angeles Chargers, Mecole Hardman, Melvin Gordon, Mike Williams, Noah Fant, Patrick Mahomes, Phillip Lindsay, Raiders, Sammy Watkins, Travis Kelce, Tyreek Hill, Tyrod Tayler

Sleeper Files: Bryan Edwards

August 16, 2020 by Tommy Harvey

Sleeper Files: Bryan Edwards

By Tommy Harvey

The Las Vegas Raiders surprised many people in April when they drafted Henry Ruggs III with the 12th overall pick in the NFL Draft.  Ruggs was considered a 1st round talent. However, he was the 1st WR off the board ahead of fellow Alabama teammate Jerry Jeudy, Oklahoma WR CeeDee Lamb, and Justin Jefferson out of LSU.  The Raiders had a need at WR, so Ruggs will arrive in Las Vegas with plenty of hype and expectations.  Viva Las Vegas!

Psst...Ruggs isn't the best WR the Raiders drafted.

Veteran QB Derek Carr had a solid season in 2019, mostly relying on TE Darren Waller.  Carr finished the season with over 4,000 yards passing and completed over 70% of his passes.  With a glaring need to surround Carr with more weapons, GM Mike Mayock and HC Jon Gruden decided to address that need in the draft.  Along with Ruggs, the Raiders drafted RB/WR Lynn Bowden out of Kentucky and former South Carolina WR Bryan Edwards.  Edwards was the steal of the draft for Vegas.

The 2nd of consecutive picks in the 3rd round for the Raiders, Edwards holds the record for most receptions and receiving yards at the University of South Carolina.  At 6’3” and 212lbs, Edwards has elite size and strength to fight for contested balls.  He was a 4-year starter while playing for the Gamecocks, and left Columbia as one of the most beloved players in South Carolina history.

QB Derek Carr has recently referred to Edwards as a violent route runner with great ball skills, similar to Carr’s former Fresno State WR Davante Adams.  His body stature and play style remind me of Chicago Pro Bowl WR Allen Robinson.  Nearly identical in size, both Robinson and Edwards have strong hands and an aggressive, physical style.  Like Robinson, Edwards could become a target monster in Las Vegas.

 

2020 Prediction and Fantasy Outlook:

58 receptions, 696 yards, 7 TDs

Currently being drafted as the WR77 in the 21st-22nd round, Edwards is being tremendously undervalued.  Scoop him up before people start to catch on.  This will be the lowest price you will ever have to pay for him.  

 

 

 

Follow me on Twitter @dynastyprostom

Tommy Harvey
Tommy Harvey has been producing and editing content for Dynasty Pros since the beginning. He is an avid fantasy football player, having played in various leagues for 15 seasons. While he specializes in dynasty leagues, Tommy also enjoys Redraft, C2C, Devy, IDP, Best Ball, and DFS. He also Co-Hosts of The Dynasty Pros Fantasy Show.
www.DynastyProsFootball.com

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Bryan Edwards, Dynasty League, Fantasy Football, Las Vegas Raiders, PPR, Raiders

Josh Jacobs: A Top Five Dynasty Back

July 21, 2020 by Matt Kelley

Josh Jacobs: A Top Five Dynasty Back

By Matt Kelley

Viva Las Vegas, draft Josh Jacobs.

I know, that’s as cheesy as anything you’ll hear in Vegas, but the Las Vegas Raiders have something special with Josh Jacobs. 

Jacobs is currently going as RB9 in PPR setups, usually early-to-mid second round. Being drafted around him at the RB spot are the likes of Joe Mixon, Kenyan Drake, Nick Chubb, Miles Sanders, and Austin Ekeler. Jacobs is the main reason why I love being slotted into the last couple of spots in a draft right now, and is a player that I’d push all my chips in on (ok...last Vegas reference). 

While Jacobs isn’t wildly far away from the top five RB’s already in ADP, let’s get into why I have him as a top-5 dynasty back. 

Raiders Backfield: 

What Jacobs already has in common with players like Christian McCaffery, Saquon Barkley, Derrick Henry, Dalvin Cook, and Alvin Kamara is he has virtually no one challenging him for touches. 

The current running backs behind Jacobs include: Lynn Bowden Jr.(R), Devontae Booker, and Jalen Richard. Bowden is a third round rookie, likely to be used in multiple spots including special teams and not a real threat to steal carries. Booker hasn’t carved out a significant role in an offense since his rookie season in Denver in 2016. Richard is ultimately the biggest threat to Jacobs...not in terms of carries...but rather as a pass catcher out of the backfield. 

Jacobs is the clear lead back. 

Every Number Says ‘Give This Man The Ball’: 

Let’s just lay out the metrics for Josh Jacobs in his rookie season: 

  • 1150 rushing yards, seven rushing TD’s
  • 27 targets, 20 receptions, 166 receiving yards
  • 78 broken tackles (2nd most)
  • 16 Runs over 15 yards (3rd most) 
  • 3.48 Yards after contact per attempt (8th most)
  • 2nd highest graded RB per Pro Football Focus

In 13 games last season, Jacobs saw 242 carries, which was the 13th most in the NFL. That averages out to 18.6 attempts per game which is the same as Nick Chubb, 0.2 behind Ezekiel Elliott, and 1.6 behind Derrick Henry. 

Vegas is committed to getting Jacobs the rock. 

Jacobs did finish behind Richard and Deandre Washington last season in targets, both of whom had over 40 targets. With Washington out of the mix, that frees up 41 targets. The assumption is that Richard will largely assume these targets. If Richard took 25 of the vacated targets, that would leave 16 on the table. Bowden might get a couple of plays drawn up for him as he is pretty electric in open space. Let’s assume Bowden gets eight and leaves the latter eight to Jacobs. Jacobs would see 35 targets...not bad. While that’s the mathematical route to the targets for Jacobs, the coaching staff is well aware that he’s their best offensive player. They’re going to find ways to get Jacobs involved as much as possible. 

Per GM Mike Mayock, "I couldn't have been happier with Josh. Josh can catch a football, and I think challenge No. 1 for him in Year Two is developing those talents,” (Eddie Paskal-- raiders.com). 

Coach John Gruden and GM Mike Mayock tend to do things to the beat of their own drum. Last season, the Raiders committed to Jacobs, and often you have to read between the lines with coach and staff speak, but here...the numbers back up the ‘speak’. 

Teams require backfield depth and that’s what the other RB’s on the depth chart are. The Raiders aren’t scheming up big things for Booker nor Bowden that are going to ultimately take away from Jacobs.  

Dynasty Stock: 

I get that everyone would love to have CMC, Zeke, or Saquon to start their dynasty team, but Jacobs is younger than all of these players, as well as all of the players I mentioned at the top of the article. 

Age isn’t everything in dynasty, but when a player already has the production Jacobs had in his first campaign, his stock is only going to continue to trend up. He’s the clear number one back for his team.  The team is feeding him, he has virtually no competition for carries, and his pass work should increase. Everything is in line for Jacobs to be a star. 

If you’re in the back of the draft order, do yourself a favor and make Jacobs a cornerstone of your squad. 

Matt Kelley
Matt Kelley
www.DynastyProsFootball.com

Filed Under: Uncategorized Tagged With: Dynasty League, Fantasy Football, Josh Jacobs, Las Vegas Raiders, LV Raiders, PPR, Raiders, Running Backs

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