Quarterbacks

Rookie Spotlight: Anthony Richardson

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Rookie Spotlight: Anthony Richardson

By Justin Herrera

 

 

Anthony Richardson is the biggest boom or bust player in this year's draft. Last year was his only full year as the QB for the Florida Gators, he threw for 2,549 yards, 17 TDs, and ran for 654 yards and 9 TDs. He’s got the potential to be the next big quarterback in the league but he’ll most likely need a year to refine his game. As of right now, he looks to be drafted within the top-15 and for Dynasty drafts should be considered top-5 in Superflex leagues and end of the first, and beginning of the second for single QB leagues.

 

Positives

-Big Arm 

-Speed/Mobility 

-Goes into tackles low 

-Short Memory

-Great acceleration

As far as the positives go AR15 is a physical monster, he’s got one of, if not the biggest arm in the draft. He and Ricky Pearsall made it look easy at times with the speedy receiver hauling in multiple deep passes for touchdowns. Match that with his elite acceleration and his ability to lower himself into tacklers. A perfect example was an 81-run against LSU, he showed acceleration on the outside and when he was caught he bounced off the defender like he was a human pinball. 

 Richardson seems to have a short memory with interceptions, bouncing back from the first three weeks, which were miserable for the young QB. He threw four interceptions and zero touchdowns during that stretch, he then finished the last nine games with 17 TDs and five interceptions. His game against Florida State University was a tough one to watch on tape. The one thing that was positive about the abysmal second against the Seminoles was that Richardson kept going and keep throwing. He’s going to need this trait in the league because the NFL is usually rough on first-round QBs. The best learn their lessons and don’t let it affect your confidence. I think this guy has the ability to move on to the next drive if there’s a turnover. Overall Richardson’s upside is through the roof, the problem is his floor is never-ending.

 

Negatives

-Overthrows deep receivers

-Tries to make the throw/Needs to throw it away more

-Makes routine throws look hard

-Can’t read defenses

-No touch

-Can’t make tight-window throws

As I said at the end of the positives blurb, AR15’s floor is a never-ending free fall. He has some accuracy issues, to say the least. Richardson has issues with overthrowing his targets in the intermediate to the deep-ball range. He also has some touch issues when throwing short passes. Richardson seems to beam the football into his player's hands, making passes such as screens and dump-offs harder for players to catch and take off. This was a problem we’ve seen with Trey Lance in his first preseason games, he’d throw a fastball at receivers and it bounced off their hands more times than not. 

This can probably be attributed to his lack of reps as the starter, with only one season as the guy in Florida. One last thing I wanted to address is he has trouble reading defenses. AR15 seems prone to want to go downfield before he checks it down, while it's not bad to look for the big play, he will have to develop a sense for what the defense is going to do and attack it patiently. I don’t know if it was playing from behind a lot this season or what, but overthrowing deep balls in double coverage will lead to turnovers in the NFL.

 

 

 Comps: Jalen Hurts, Trey Lance

Richardson has the skillset teams are looking for in the modern game. If I were to compare him to anyone it would be Jalen Hurts. Hurts came into the NFL needing to work on his throwing mechanics but had enough arm and rushing ability to get by until this past season. Where he took his next step into the upper echelon of quarterbacks in the NFL. The narrative is kind of spun the same for Richardson, he's a big-armed QB with mobility for days. If he lands in the right situation with a coach that has the ability, patience, and desire to develop him then we could easily be looking at the next big superstar.

My Favorite AR15 game

Louisiana State University, this game showcased everything that makes Richardson a big-time prospect. He opened the game with a 51-yard touchdown throw and had an 81-yard touchdown run that showcased his speed and determination that will make him a problem at the next level. This game was a loss for the Gators but for AR15’s stock, it was a big-time bump. This game wasn’t the most statistically pleasing, but it was the little things like completing 60 percent of his passes.

AR15’s Worst Game(s)

Florida State, so I chose this game in particular because of the hype behind the rivalry. This game was important and it was at the end of the year so no excuses for your play, you were either good or you weren't. Richardson showed both sides of AR15 in this game. Richardson’s first half was great, he completed five of ten passes with three touchdowns, including a 52-yarder and a 43, both to Ricky Pearsall. AR15 looked good, but then the second half came around and that was a different story. Richardson completed four of seventeen passes with three of them coming on the very last drive. He made screen passes look difficult, was short on passes downfield, and lacked touch on underneath passes. He couldn’t run the ball effectively with the Seminoles' defense running contain on the outside. And everything he was throwing downfield was to either a well-covered receiver or well off its target. This is the game where you could’ve pulled all the positives and negatives for AR15 and had a pretty accurate list.

Kentucky was another game where AR15 struggled mightily with his accuracy, completing 40 percent of his passes with zero TDs, two interceptions, and only four rushing yards. The reason I have the Seminole game as his worst and not this one is that I wanted to give him the benefit of early-season mistakes. This was the second start of his first season as “the guy” in Florida. Richardson was all over the place with his throws, while his first interception was a big play from a defensive end. His second one on the other hand was due to a misread or miscommunication with the receiver. Richardson threw it early on a hitch route and got picked off by the opposing corner.

Best Fits

Seattle: The Seahawks have two first-round picks and are looking into retaining Pro Bowl QB Geno Smith. This would be a great situation for AR15, getting to learn from a QB that is mobile, and knows the feeling of critics doubting his talents. Smith can help guide him, and when Richardson is ready he’ll have talents such as Ken Walker and DK Metcalf to work with as well as a young offensive line. 

Detroit: The Lions have all the same perks that the Seahawks do, but their pick is right after the Hawks. In Detroit, you get a mentor who was a first-round pick and two speedy game-breaking wide receivers. And a strong offensive line with an LT that's going into his third year.

Washington: This is an interesting spot, whether he slips to 16 or trade up to grab Richardson. Offensive Coordinator Eric Bienemy brings in a guy who has seen a young talented kid become the best QB in the league. Maybe this experience could help both AR15 and Bienemy’s careers. The only issue is they will need a vet to help him develop.

Las Vegas: The Raiders are in need of a QB at pick number seven. They’ll probably go with a more refined QB such as a Will Levis, but having AR15 throw to Davante Adams has some definite appeal to it.

NY Jets: The Jets much like the Raiders are looking for someone to come in and take this roster to the next level immediately. This means this could be a pick that's traded or someone like Derek Carr, Jimmy Garoppolo could be there as the veteran presence. If that's the case then having Garrett Wilson for 5-10 years should be beneficial to Richardson’s game.

Tampa Bay: The Bucs feel like they're in full rebuild mode and could consider a young QB, but I feel like this is the worst spot for Richardson. The talent that made this team a champion has either retired or is on the wrong side of their prime years.

 

Top Free Agents Part 1: Quarterback

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Top Free Agents Part I: Quarterback

By Nick Young

With the 22-23 NFL season at a close, it is almost time to turn to free agency and where we see the big names to land. Here I list my top 3 at each significant position and my top three landing spots for each. 

Quarterback

Lamar Jackson

Possible landing spots: BAL, ATL, NYJ, LV

Lamar Jackson is easily the best QB on this list, and honestly, it’s hard to imagine him going elsewhere than Baltimore. There is speculation that Jackson could move on from Baltimore because they haven’t signed him to a long-term contract. However, the Ravens are in a better position to pursue him and will have a healthy squad to chase a playoff run in 23’. When free agency rolls around, Jackson will be Baltimore’s QB1 under the Franchise Tag or a long-term contract. With Jackson being the best quarterback on the market and consistently being a tier-1 quarterback when healthy, expect him to attempt a market resetting contract higher than Deshaun Watson. 

Derek Carr

Possible landing spots: NO, CAR, TENN, NYJ

The Derek Carr and Raiders saga is coming to a close as Carr won't waive his no-trade clause and force the Raiders to release him, which will incur a $40,000,000 cap hit. Carr won’t see a shortage of suitors, as he has already met with the Saints while exploring his trade options. The Saints will be my first choice for Carr, as there will be many weapons for him in the form of Alvin Kamara, Chris Olave, and a surprising weapon Juwan Johnson. However, Carolina and Tennessee are coming in hot as potential suitors and could be in the mix. Tennessee needs a veteran mentor for Malik Willis as it appears this is Ryan Tannehill’s last season with the Titans, and Carolina will be looking to start over under new HC Frank Reich. Carr will be looking for a market resetting contract, and his suitors will do anything to reach him. Expect him to get a shorter length in the range of 3-4 years, but with an average of $45 million. 

Jimmy Garoppolo

Possible landing spots: TENN, NO, CAR, NYJ, LV

Oh, Jimmy G, oh Jimmy G, my heart belongs to Jimmy G. Easily my favorite quarterback on this list. San Francisco will be moving on from the and moving forward with Brock Purdy and Trey Lance. The quarterback market won't be as strong this year as not many teams will be looking for a QB1. However, a squad that isn’t far from a playoff stint like the Tennessee Titans could pursue Garoppolo on a team-friendly deal and give Malik Willis the mentorship he needs after being benched for third-string quarterback Josh Dobbs. I expect Garoppolo will get a middle-of-the-road deal similar to Matt Ryan’s deal with the Colts at an average of $30,000,000/year. 

2023 Superflex Rookie Mock Draft 1.0

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2023 Superflex Rookie Mock Draft 1.0

By Dynasty Pros Staff

 

Every fantasy football site/podcast/YouTube channel does a Rookie Mock Draft.  My advice when looking at all of the mocks… soak in the player info and then make a composite of all of the mocks you look at, then form your own plan based on how your team is already constructed.  Here at DynastyProsFootball, we had six of our writers do a four-round Rookie Mock Draft (SuperFlex, Full PPR) making two selections per round.  

 

 

1.01 RB Bijan Robinson, 6'0 215 lbs, Texas

This may be chalky, but it is for a reason.  Robinson is the best fantasy football prospect in this class. There is nothing I’m going to say here that you haven’t heard about Robinson, so I will answer the bigger question: what if I’m rebuilding and don’t want to take a running back yet? I would still take Robinson over the quarterbacks here even in a SuperFlex league, but more importantly, I would try to trade back. You can potentially get a massive haul for him right now. If you cannot make that happen I would just take Bijan. Hopefully, I can complete my rebuild in time for him to be of use to me or I can try to flip him in the season when he is starting to produce. 

- Doug Harrelson (@DougHarrelson)

 

1.02 QB Bryce Young, 6’0 194lbs, Alabama

Alabama has had success at quarterback lately and it continues with Young.  When it comes to the first quarterback off the board, there are two players who are battling.  And although I prefer CJ Stroud, it’s hard to ignore that Young has had more success when it mattered most.  Ultimately, you can’t go wrong with either pick, but for me, it comes down to Young’s Heisman, better rushing ability and doing more with less on his team.  Give me Young with the slightest of advantages over Stroud.

- Tim Lazenby (@mrLazenby_)

 

1.03 C. J. Stroud, QB, 6’3” 215lbs, Ohio State

Arguably the best pure passer in this class, Stroud seemingly came from nowhere, going straight from Justin Fields’ backup to two-time Heisman Trophy contender. He has prototype size, can make all the throws, and can put the ball in almost unimaginably precise spots for his receivers. He’s proven he can perform on the biggest stages with spectacular bowl performances against the elite defenses of Utah and Georgia. The only question left to answer is whether he can be elite without an elite supporting cast.

- Joel Wirth (@TheJoelWirth)

 

1.04 RB Jahmyr Gibbs, 5’11 200lbs, Alabama

Gibbs has been compared to Alvin Kamara, and that is a very fair comp.  Kamara is a little thicker, but they have very similar playing styles and skill sets.  I would give Gibbs the edge when it comes to breakaway speed, so give me that at 1.04 in any rookie draft.

- Tommy Havey (@DynastyProsTom)

 

1.05 WR Quentin Johnston, 6'4 215 lbs, TCU

Wow.. I did not expect to get Johnston here, but I’m glad I did. The first 3 picks were chalk, and I really expected Quentin Johnston to go at 1.04. With that being said I was really debating on whether I’d go Jahmyr Gibbs or Jaxon Smith-Njigba at the 1.05 spot. I see Johnston as the best WR in this class, and he should be drafted as a team’s go-to WR1. He’s my overall 1.04 in Superflex Rookie Drafts. 

- Bob Miller (@DynastyBobFF)

 

1.06 WR Jaxon Smith-Njigba, 6'0 193 lbs, Ohio St

Smith-Njigba follows the Ohio St. wide receiver pipeline to the NFL behind Garret Willson and Chris Olave. Smith-Njigba isn’t just “twitchy-fast,” he has long, breakaway speed. And, with him learning behind Olave and Wilson, Jaxon is a solid route runner who knows how to find open spaces in a defense.  If he was 2 inches taller, he may have garnered top 5 buzz in the 2023 NFL draft.  Wherever he is drafted, he is an immediate contributor with his ability to take the top off of defenses and his ability to create space over the middle. Yes, there may be some injury concern with Smith-Njigba missing most of the 2022 season, but all indications are his hamstring is not a long-term issue. There may be other receivers with more “singular” attributes that make them more appealing (Quentin Johnson? Or Jordan Addison?), but for the total package, Jaxon Smith-Njigba is the #1 receiver on my rookie board and I’m happy to grab him at 1.05.

- Goody (@JGoody77)

 

1.07 TE Michael Mayer, 6'4 250 lbs, Notre Dame

When researching Michael Mayer, the following terms were used to describe Mayer: “well-rounded,” “polished,” “natural instincts,” and “physical.”  In short, Michael Mayer could very well enter the league and already be a top 5 tight end before the end of his first year.  Some analysts believe that a tight end this high is a waste.  However, the position is so thin of elite tight ends (Kelce, Kittle, Andrews) that the chance to draft a player and have that position covered for the next 10 years is too great to pass up.  Some may ask: Is this going to be another Kyle Pitts situation?  My answer is, “NO!” I believe the media hyped Pitts with his acrobatic catches too much and didn’t take account of all the other characteristics that make a great tight end.  Mayer does all the little things right and all the big things great.  I believe Mayer will be the benchmark that all tight ends will be compared to for the next decade.

- Goody (@JGoody77)

 

1.08 WR Jordan Addison, 6'0 180 lbs, USC

Another surprise for me here. Goody went with Michael Mayer at 1.07, and Addison fell right into my lap. With fantasy managers so desperate for a productive TE, I understand why some could pull the trigger early on Mayer. Not me.. Give me a potential stud WR every time. Addison is my WR3 in rookie drafts, so I’m super excited to grab him with the 8th pick.

- Bob Miller (@DynastyBobFF)

 

1.09 WR Kayshon Boutte, 6’0 205 lbs, LSU

Boutte is possibly the most skilled WR in this draft class.  He is built like Ja’Marr Chase and runs with the same kind of grace and effortlessness.  I don’t believe he is quite as good as Chase, but he should be a quality WR in the NFL.  LSU has a good reputation for putting high caliber WRs in the league, and Boutte is the next in line.

- Tommy Havey (@DynastyProsTom)

 

1.10 QB Will Levis, 6’3” 232 lbs, Kentucky

The ultimate “profile over production” NFL prospect. Scouts have been drooling over Levis’ prototype QB body and arm for years. The problem is, he wasn’t a very good college quarterback. If you watch his highlights, you’ll walk away thinking he’s a superstar in the making. If you watch his tape, you’ll weep over his inconsistency and inability to transcend his situation. He makes everything look easy, from the sublime throws to the ridiculous interceptions. If (capital letters, bold type if) he can improve his mechanics and decision making, we’ll see that superstar come out and dominate for years to come. If he can’t, there will be a lot of damning comparisons to failed QB prospects of the past.

- Joel Wirth (@TheJoelWirth)

 

1.11  RB Zach Evans, 6’0 215 lbs, Ole Miss

While Zach Evans lacks the pass catching prowess that many look for in a running back in the NFL, it’s hard to ignore his premier rushing ability.  Sure, the pass blocking needs work, but many running backs struggle with that straight out of the gate in the NFL.  His burst and fantastic 40 time show that he can be trusted with early downs to gain critical yards.  Lastly, it’s true that he’s not the best running back in the class, but he’s being overlooked.  

- Tim Lazenby (@mrLazenby_)

 

1.12 RB Tank Bigsby, 6'0 213 lbs, Auburn

Watching Bigsby tape is such a joy. The former track star shows off his ability to accelerate every time he sees an opening. The right landing spot could make the idea of landing him here at the back end of the first round purely a fantasy. While he was not used much in the passing game in college, his quickness and explosiveness tell me that given the right scheme, he could certainly be useful in the passing game at some point. Despite his quickness, breakaway speed is a small concern but there is a ton of upside with Bigsby. 

- Doug Harrelson (@DougHarrelson)

 

2.01 RB Zach Charbonnet, 6'1 222 lbs, UCLA

How I rank Bigsby and Charbonnet may flip-flop multiple times between now and when I am on the clock in my dynasty leagues. Charbonnet has a physicality to his game that is made for Sundays. He finishes runs strong and sheds arm tackles effortlessly. Charbonnet also has fantastic instincts and vision when he runs the ball. That part of the game will not be an adjustment for Charbonnet. Minor concerns about his pad level, I think he has gotten so used to effortlessly breaking tackles that it has caused him to run a little taller than he should. An issue very easily fixed by some coaching. He is also not likely to generate a ton of big plays at the next level but there have been many successful backs with that same issue.

- Doug Harrelson (@DougHarrelson)

 

2.02 QB Anthony Richardson, 6’4 232 lbs, Florida

I wanted Richardson at my earlier pick, but I was delighted to see he was still available.  It’s very true that Richardson is far from polished, but in fantasy football, he has the greatest ceiling of the class.  The raw talent can’t be drafted before Young, Stroud or even perhaps Levis, but there’s a chance he could rise above them in the right system.  Players like Fields and Hurts have shown that the best quarterback in the draft may not be the best in fantasy football.  I’m not saying he’s Josh Allen, but Allen’s cannon, combined with rushing ability made Cleveland look foolish for taking the safer pick in Baker Mayfield.

- Tim Lazenby (@mrLazenby_)

 

2.03 RB Sean Tucker, 5’10” 205 lbs, Syracuse

Sean Tucker is slightly smaller than the presumed ideal for an NFL running back. Outside of that, there’s not much to not like. He’s shown everything you want to see in a running back, vision, balance, acceleration, and long speed. He’s a good pass blocker, excellent receiver out of the backfield and is deadly in open space. He can run through you, he can run by you, and he can run away from you.

- Joel Wirth (@TheJoelWirth)

 

2.04 WR Josh Downs, 5’10 175 lbs, North Carolina

Downs will be a highly productive slot receiver in the NFL.  He is on the small side, but his elite speed will be a difference maker.  He runs good, crisp routes and should get open downfield plenty.  He does need to improve on his drop rate from his final season at North Carolina, but I absolutely love getting him in the middle of the 2nd round.  

- Tommy Havey (@DynastyProsTom)

 

2.05 RB Kendre Miller, 6'0 220 lbs, TCU 

Miller is a bonafide top 5 RB in this class. At 6’0″ and nearly 220 pounds, he is an explosive runner with agility, finesse, and balance both through contact and cuts. He also has great vision and processing speed, as well as superb creative instincts. On top of that, he provides value as a receiver and a blocker on passing downs. I could see him as this year’s Kenneth Walker. However, unlike Walker, you may get to steal this RB in the 2nd round of your rookie draft.

- Bob Miller (@DynastyBobFF)

 

2.06 WR Jalin Hyatt, 6'0 186 lbs, Tennessee

In short, Jalin had a DOMINANT senior season at Tennessee.  He hauled in 67 passes for over 1,200 yards and 15 touchdowns.  And those are not just “numbers,” as Hyatt picked up many awards in recognition of his amazing season.  Hyatt was named First Team All-America by essentially every publication that names a team and the Biletnikoff Award for college’s most outstanding receiver.  Did I also mention that Hyatt runs a 4.29 40-yard dash?  Yes, he has speed for days.  And with his size, Jalin’s catch radius is special and his route running is top notch. The one criticism of Hyatt’s is  his hands. He has had some drops in games, but it is not a problem that can’t be improved.   To grab a player in the 2nd round with this type of ability, may just win fantasy football leagues.

- Goody (@JGoody77)

 

2.07 TE Darnell Washington, 6'7 280 lbs, Georgia

If you looked at Washington’s stats from the 2022 college football season, you may wonder why he is even on draft radars, let alone fantasy football radars.  Well, the adage goes: You can’t teach height.  You also can’t teach size.  Washington is 6’7 and 280 lbs of human being.  With all that size, Darnell can also run.  His 4.63 40-yard dash puts him better than average for any tight end prospect; let alone one as big and as strong as him.

With his blocking ability, and short to intermediate pass catching ability, Washington will be a useful tool in fantasy football; especially at a position that lacks options.

- Goody (@JGoody77)

 

2.08 QB Hendon Hooker, 6'3 210 lbs, Tennessee 

This is a Superflex draft right? How in the heck did I luck out and get Hendon Hooker at 2.08? I actually have Hooker as my QB2 over the likes of Bryce Young, Anthony Richardson, and Will Levis. He’s a better NFL talent than Bryce Young, a much better arm talent than Anthony Richardson, and more big-game proven than Will Levis. Hooker is projected as a late 2nd or 3rd round pick, however, with Hooker’s rehab going ahead of schedule, I can’t see that projection lasting long. He could be a fantastic replacement to Lamar Jackson in Baltimore (if traded). Detroit or Seattle would also be a great landing spot for the dual-threat QB.

- Bob Miller (@DynastyBobFF)

 

2.09 WR Zay Flowers, 5’10 177 lbs, Boston College

Flowers is in the same mold as Josh Downs…whom I selected earlier in the 2nd round.  Playing at Boston College didn’t do him any favors.  If he had played in a higher profile program, I believe he would have been an ultra-producer in the slot.  His footwork and field vision have the potential to make him special.

- Tommy Havey (@DynastyProsTom)

 

2.10 RB Devon Achane, 5’9” 185 lbs, Texas A&M

Devon Achane’s size will likely prevent him from being a feature back in the NFL. Notice I said likely, not definitely. Achane has legit world class sprinter speed. When he destroys the combine, every offensive coordinator in the league is going to start licking their chops, imagining what he can do in their offense. It’s a cliche, but you can’t teach speed and Achane’s got four-leaf clover speed. He’ll be a weapon in the passing game, on jet sweeps, and could be a Pro Bowl kick returner, on top of being an elite, if carry-limited half back. You’ll see a lot of Darren Sproles comparisons for Devon Achane, I think it’s better to think of him as a smaller Chris Johnson.

- Joel Wirth (@TheJoelWirth)

 

2.11 WR Marvin Mims, 5’11 184 lbs, Oklahoma

Marvin Mims is one of those receivers who had success straight out of the gate in college.  A blemish on his chances in the draft is his smaller stature, but he plays bigger than his frame suggests.  He will not blow defenders away off the block, but he is fantastic at gaining momentum as he runs.  I do worry that teams will want to utilize his ability as a returner and ignore him as a receiver on normal downs, but if they don’t make that mistake he’s sure to be an incredible value in the draft.  I’m banking on the right situation uncorking his full abilities.

- Tim Lazenby (@mrLazenby_)

 

2.12 RB Tyjae Spears, 5'10 195 lbs, Tulane

I had not planned to be four picks into this draft and still just taking running backs but here we are. The position is deep in this class. Spears profiles as a 3rd down back and does so well in space. The way he sets up angles for the moves that he has in his bag is a work of art. His size means he will likely never be a 20-plus touch guy but in a complimentary role, he could excel in the right offense. 

- Doug Harrelson (@DougHarrelson)

 

3.01 TE Dalton Kincaid, 6'4 242 lbs, Utah

Stop me if you have heard this before, a former basketball player is playing tight end. A bit of a raw prospect but has excellent ball skills and some scary upside. Dalton Kincaid would be best suited to a team where he does not have to block a ton and can be used in a “big-slot” role in the early stages of his career. He will obviously have plenty of usage in the red zone with his skill set. He still has a long way to go as a blocker and might be a little smaller than we like at tight end but to get this upside in the third round has me thrilled.

- Doug Harrelson (@DougHarrelson)

 

3.02 RB Kenny McIntosh, 6’1 210 lbs, Georgia

While McIntosh isn’t the best runner in the class, his ability in the passing game has been admirable in college and it’s sure to earn him work on third downs.  I don’t think he’ll be a starting running back, but he has the potential to turn into one.  He has a knock against him in not being able to shrink between the tackles, but he’s elusive enough to work on making defenders miss.  Bottom line, when it comes to Georgia, you give trust to the system.  With the amount of elite runners they have produced in the NFL, I gamble on McIntosh’s chances.

- Tim Lazenby (@mrLazenby_)

 

3.03 WR Rashee Rice, 6’3” 205 lbs, SMU

The Analytics Bros will look at Rashee Rice’s profile, see a four-year senior with a late breakout and move on. The Tape Bros, on the other hand, are going to love what they see. A true boundary X receiver with the speed to run by defenders and the size and strong hands to go up over the top and pluck the ball away from them. Rice is by no means a finished product. SMU’s offense was very right-handed and he ran almost exclusively from the strong side and didn’t have the most extensive route tree, but give him some NFL coaching and the tools are there to build the next stud wide receiver.

- Joel Wirth (@TheJoelWirth)

 

3.04 WR Cedric Tillman, 6’3 216 lbs, Tennessee

Tillman has great 50/50 ball skills and is a very physical WR.  He is a very good blocker in the running game and in the screen game.  His ability to track the deep ball is borderline elite, but his lack of gamebreaking speed will cause issues in separation.  He sustained a serious ankle injury this past season and underwent surgery.  He will have to prove his durability at the next level.

- Tommy Havey (@DynastyProsTom)

 

3.05 RB Eric Gray, 5'10, 212 lbs, Oklahoma 

This is the point in the draft where I start grabbing RBs with the hopes of getting this year’s Dameon Pierce/Isiah Pecheco. I grabbed Gray here due to his tremendous potential. He is a violent runner with a rare blend of balance, agility, and instinct. He may be drafted as depth to start, but he could take over a backfield sooner than later. Dallas or Carolina would be a great spot for him to land. 

- Bob Miller (@DynastyBobFF)

 

3.06 WR Parker Washington, 5'11 215 lbs, Penn St

Parker Washington doesn’t excite scouts with his physical attributes; too short to make contested catches, too heavy to be a downfield burner.  Yet, Washington thrives at running over the middle and being an openfield terror. In many ways, the similarities between Washington and Deebo Samuel are starting to materialize in my eyes.  The statistics don’t jump off the page from Washington’s 2022 season at Penn St.  He recorded 46 catches for 611 yards and 2 td’s.  However, what makes Washington an intriguing NFL prospect is his ability to go over the middle to make tough grabs and create havoc in the open field.  At this point in the draft, the risk/reward was worth it.

- Goody (@JGoody77)

 

3.07 RB Chase Brown, 5'11 205 lbs, Illinois

Chase Brown has the perfect combination of size and speed to be relevant in the NFL.  Each year in college, Brown showed improvement in both his running and receiving.  During his 5th year, he ran for 1,632 yards with 10 touchdowns.  A concern some may have for Brown is a propensity for fumbling; he had 5 fumbles this past year. He will need to rectify that in order for Offensive Coordinators to trust him early in his career. His pass catching abilities are what teams may fall in love with during the draft, but he will be a valuable commodity as a dual threat back with the ability to create chunk plays frequently.

- Goody (@JGoody77)

 

3.08 RB Israel Abanikanda, 5'11 215 lbs, Pittsburgh 

Izzy Abanikanda may not be the most talented RB in the class, however he is a smart, patient runner who always picks up positive yards. He’s a north/south grinder that could really help a team like the LA Chargers or Arizona Cardinals. Again, I’m grabbing RBs at this point with the hopes of hitting on one. 

- Bob Miller (@DynastyBobFF)

 

3.09 RB Dwayne McBride, 5’11 215 lbs, Alabama-Birmingham

Super productive as a runner at UAB, McBride was not utilized in the passing game very often.  That is my main question with him.  He has good size and is very violent at the point of contact.  He also has decent, but not great speed.  I think the 3rd/4th round turn is a solid spot to draft him.  

- Tommy Havey (@DynastyProsTom)

 

3.10 QB Tanner McKee, 6’6”, 230 lbs, Stanford

For the past couple years, Stanford has, well, frankly, they’ve sucked. But if there was a reason to watch the Cardinal, it was Tanner McKee. At 6’6”, 230, you literally couldn’t miss him. If you watch him throw, you might think he has a literal whip for an arm, but it’s an actual human arm. An arm that can make throws all over the field. No one will confuse him for Lamar Jackson on the run, but he’s a good enough athlete to run when needed and can drop dimes on the move. He’ll need to tighten up his throwing motion, so he’s not going to be considered among the top tier of QBs in this draft, but for a team that needs a quarterback but doesn’t want to go the retread route and may not have the draft capital to take one of the elite, McKee is a worthy investment.

- Joel Wirth (@TheJoelWirth)

 

3.11 RB Deuce Vaughn, 5’6 176 lbs, Kansas State

Vaughn profiles to be a fantastic third down back, but one who will not carry the load as a starter.  A prototypical pass catching running back is very appealing in fantasy football.  Although he’s not one to run through the tackles due to his small stature, players like Darren Sproles, for example, show that you don’t need to be big to succeed.  It’s hard not to hear the word dynamic when speaking of Deuce Vaughn and he’s sure to be a steal in the draft.

- Tim Lazenby (@mrLazenby_)

 

3.12 WR Rakim Jarrett, 6'0 190 lbs, Maryland 

We have reached the stage of the draft where I am now looking for unique traits. None of the players left on the board are perfect prospects or they would have been gone a long time ago. Rakim Jarrett has one of the traits that can make it easier for him to get on the field sooner and that is the ability to run after the catch. NFL offenses love simple plays to get the ball in space in the hands of guys who know how to move with it. He is a bit undersized and I am not sure about him making contested catches or being a threat downfield but if he can find the right spot, he can produce. 

- Doug Harrelson (@DougHarrelson)

 

4.01 WR Nathanial Dell, 5'9 165 lbs, Houston

This could be a pick that is ultimately being lit on fire but this is what I want to be doing in the later rounds of rookie drafts. High-ceiling guys that could pop. Nathaniel Dell may be small but he has obscene amounts of quickness in that little body. Even if he does not possess all the skills of an NFL wide receiver, I imagine he will land a roster spot as a return man somewhere if nothing else. Being on the roster is half the battle then if he can get some run at wide receiver, perhaps he can flash there. His draft capital may change my thoughts if he goes undrafted. 

- Doug Harrelson (@DougHarrelson)

 

4.02 TE Sam LaPorta, 6’4 249 lbs, Iowa

LaPorta has been tagged as a player with few red flags, but also few show stopping qualities.  But just because you don’t blow analysts away, it doesn’t mean LaPorta isn’t enticing.  He’s already shown he can be placed all over in formation and his soft hands should give him a decent floor in the receiving game.  I do worry about his pass blocking abilities, which are key at the position, but he’s not the only college tight end that will need to work on it at the NFL level.  I identify him as a top five option at the position and worthy of selection late in rookie drafts.

- Tim Lazenby (@mrLazenby_)

 

4.03 WR A.T. Perry, 6’5”, 205 lbs, Wake Forest

A.T. Perry is a player whose draft stock will be heavily dependent on his combine showing. The tape shows a receiver who’s fast and can get open on a variety of routes. Is he elite fast? Is he really 6’5”? Is he really 205? I have my doubts about the last one, but we’ll see. I’d like to have seen him go to the Senior Bowl, as Wake’s offense, while productive, could get a bit gimmicky. If he can answer his pre-draft questions positively, he may be another Jordan Addison, at a more palatable price.

- Joel Wirth (@TheJoelWirth)

 

4.04 TE Zack Kuntz, 6’8 251 lbs, Old Dominion

Outside of Michael Mayer, Kuntz is probably my favorite TE.  He is definitely the most intriguing TE prospect IMO.  A massive target that also runs well, Kuntz has the potential to be a monster in the NFL.  He has great pass catching skills, but he will have to prove health and productivity at a much higher level than he competed in while at Old Dominion.  

- Tommy Havey (@DynastyProsTom)

 

4.05 RB Chris Rodriguez, 5'11 224 lbs, Kentucky 

Rodriguez is not an explosive runner, however he is a decisive runner with good feet and vision. He will be a backup for whoever drafts him, but he’s still worth grabbing due to potential injuries. He’s a dart throw here in the 4th round. 

- Bob Miller (@DynastyBobFF)

 

4.06 WR Puka Nacua, 6'2 205 lbs, BYU

Puka has all the physical traits to be a useful piece in NFL offenses.  Nacua has a history of making the most out of his limited touches in games.  In 2021, he averaged 18.3 yards per reception; in 2022, he averaged 13 yards per catch.  Nacua runs a limited route tree (as of now), but should progress as he develops as a receiver.  Puka, at times, can get too comfortable with using his body to make catches rather than his hands.  He will need to improve on that in order to be a weekly starter in fantasy football.  However, with his ability to track the deep pass, I see a lot of Gabe Davis in his game.

- Goody (@JGoody77)

 

4.07 QB Jaren Hall, 6'1 205 lbs, BYU

Hall lacks the ideal size that other recent QBs have had that have succeeded early in the NFL; Joe Burrow (6’4, 215), Justin Herbert (6’6, 236), and Josh Allen (6’5, 237).  There will be questions about his overall size and whether he can handle the rigors of the physical nature of the  NFL.  However, Hall can sling the ball around.  He can make all the necessary throws expected of an NFL quarterback and has demonstrated composure in the pocket. Hall could be a quarterback prospect that is disregarded due to size that may end up being a top notch starter for years; in some ways like Russell Wilson (both also played baseball).  For a late, rookie draft flier, I love Jaren Hall’s potential.

- Goody (@JGoody77)

 

4.08 QB Stetson Bennett, 5'11 190 lbs, Georgia 

This 25 year old QB is big game tested. He has the arm strength to make most NFL throws. He’s a confident player who sees the field very well. He especially stands out if a play breaks down with his high football IQ and quick-thinking. With as many injuries at the quarterback position as we’ve seen in the NFL, Bennett could very well be a starting QB by mid-season. To grab him in the 4th round of a Superflex draft could be highway robbery. 

- Bob Miller (@DynastyBobFF)

 

4.09 RB Roschon Johnson, 6’2 223 lbs, Texas

If not for fellow Longhorn Bijan Robinson, Johnson would have been a very productive starter at Texas…or anywhere else in the country for that matter.  In my opinion, Johnson is the most underrated RB in this draft class and is a steal in the 4th round.  

- Tommy Havey (@DynastyProsTom)

 

4.10 RB Mohamed Ibrahim, 5’10”, 210 lbs, Minnesota

Mohamed Ibrahim looked like a star in the making, until opening week of the 2021 season when he tore his achilles tendon in a game against Ohio State. Then, in a near Cam Akers level comeback, he was back and ready to play for the Gophers to open 2022. He doesn’t offer much in the passing game, but to paraphrase Judge Smails in Caddyshack, the world needs two down pounders, too.

- Joel Wirth (@TheJoelWirth)

 

4.11 WR Xavier Hutchinson, 6’3 205 lbs, Iowa State

I was shocked to see Hutchinson was still available this late in our mock draft.  He gives a combination of size and speed that are sure to be coveted.  The knock against him is that he looks like a player who struggles with versatility.  A one trick pony, Hutchinson hasn’t shown he can run a multitude of routes.  That being said, he’s near the top of the class in mid field running, stretching a play and outreaching defenders.  I’m more than happy to select him this late in the draft and the burner potential leaves me more than happy to draft him.

- Tim Lazenby (@mrLazenby_)

 

4.12 WR Andrei Iosivas, 6'3 212 lbs, Princeton

The honor of Mr. Irrelevant for this mock draft goes to Andrei Iosivas out of Princeton. We are once again swinging for the fences in the last round. I am extremely curious to see how he performs at the combine when lined up next to all these other prospects from the big schools. The obvious concern here is his lack of competition at the collegiate level but the athletic profile raises an eyebrow. This is another prospect where perhaps the NFL will shed some light based on how highly he is drafted. Definitely a player I will be paying a lot of attention to during the pre-draft process.

- Doug Harrelson (@DougHarrelson)

 

Dynasty League Deep Sleepers: Quarterback

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Dynasty League Deep Sleepers: Quarterback

By Joe Goodwin

 

 

Last week saw a number of backup quarterbacks at the beginning of the season start NFL games. Taylor Heinicke, Sam Ehlinger, PJ Walker, Malik Willis, Jimmy Garoppolo, and Kenny Pickett all took the helm in week 8. That is an amazing number of players at THE key position in football getting the start under center The point is: QB depth in Dynasty leagues is essential to long term success. Your dynasty team should have plenty of bench spots to keep a long-term project. Will this project pay dividends? Maybe yes, Maybe no. However, a long time ago, Tom Brady, Russell Wilson would have been examples of a QB stash that now seems crazy to think otherwise. Even Justin Herbert out of college was not even considered a 1st round rookie pick in dynasty leagues. What’s the point? Any manager that looks to the future, will not be surprised by it.

 

Here is a list of players and my reasoning for QB stashes that could be worth the wait:

 

Gardner Minshew

The primary backup to Jalen Hurts has already seen some “mop-up” time in Eagles’ blowouts. Gardner Minshew has started 28 games at quarterback in his career and is regarded as a top tier back up. It's only a matter of time until a team is looking for a bridge quarterback and makes Howie Roseman an offer he can’t refuse; maybe a 6th round pick. With Gardner as your stash, you have a high ceiling bench player once the opportunity arises. He has a 63% completion rate with 41 career touchdown passes. Minshew may not be a long term solution for your fantasy team, but could provide solid depth during bye weeks or an emergency start due to injury if he has the chance to start. He is worth the roster spot.

 

 

Kyle Trask

It doesn’t take a fantasy football savant to notice this is not the year anyone expected to see from Tom Brady. Trask is NOT the primary backup to Tom Brady; that’s Blaine Gabbert. However, that makes Kyle Trask easier to get if he’s already rostered. Kyle has never taken a regular season snap as QB1 in Tampa, but that time may come quicker than one thinks. If, and when, the team is ready to move on from Brady, Trask will get the first chance to take the helm. Make the small investment now, and hope his team will shine sooner rather than later.

 

 

Bryce Perkins

Not familiar with the name? Good, either will many in your league. Perkins is a true dual-threat QB that is hiding on the Rams depth chart. He threw for over 6,000 yards in 2 years at UVA while amassing 47 passing touchdowns. He also ran for over 1,600 yards in that time with 20 rushing touchdowns. I will admit this is a deep cut, but he’s cut in a similar mold of Jalen Hurts and that’s a lottery ticket worth the risk.

 

 

Cooper Rush

Rostering Cooper Rush now is predicated on him finding a new home. He showed well in replacing Dak Prescott at the beginning of the season. However, he didn't overwhelm the league either. He is another example of a bridge QB; similar to Matt Schaub or Matt Flynn. In his stint replacing Prescott, Rush had over 1,000 yards passing with a QB rating over 80.0. Dallas will find it hard to find a better QB2, but if a team makes the right offer, Dallas will be hard-pressed to not trade him. He’s worth the stash now in the hopes he is traded to a team that needs a short-term starter. He’s another player, like Gardner Minshew, that can perform with the opportunity to play. Don’t be too late waiting for the role to already be established.

 

 

Desmond Ridder

I wrote an article on the Falcons during the preseason comparing Marcus Mariota and Desmond Ridder(https://dynastyprosfootball.com/game-of-thrones-atlanta-falcons/). And, at this point, that article has been right on the button. Mariota has played well enough to be the QB1 in Atlanta. And the Falcons are leading the NFC South. So, a QB change is not on the horizon. That bodes well for Ridder. If the Falcons continue to play just well enough to be in contention, Atlanta will not be in a position to draft one of the top tier QBs entering the draft in 2023. That’s where Ridder benefits. At some point, the Falcons will have to find a long term solution at QB and Ridder may (or may not) be that answer. Ridder showed glimpses during preseason that may warrant the Falcons giving him a true opportunity at the QB1 spot. If he is already on another roster, make a subtle trade offer to see how much the other manager wants to hold on to him. I would start with a 4th round rookie pick and go from there.

 

 

Nick Mullens

(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)

Mullens is comparable to Rush and Minshew. They are career backups that had opportunities to play and had some positive results. Being the primary backup to Kirk Cousins, and access to weapons like Justin Jefferson and TJ Hockenson, Mullens will prove valuable if given the chance to start. The Vikings are a good team with deep playoff aspirations. As a former fill-in, Mullens has over 26 touchdown passes with over 4,800 passing yards. He has proven as a solid #2 and is a great “deep” insurance policy on dynasty teams that don’t have a lot of depth at QB. This is especially true for any manager that has Kirk Cousins as a primary QB player.

 

 

Mike White

(Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)

Mike White was pushed aside at the beginning of this year as the Jets added Joe Flacco to be the starter during Zach Wilson’s injury time. However, if you haven’t noticed (i will for you), Mike White is the primary backup now that Zach Wilson is back under center. In fill in time last year, White completed 67% of his passes for 953 yards. Although he threw more interceptions than touchdowns, he was working with a Jets team that was not very good. The team is better this year, and if the opportunity presents itself, White may prove to be a valuable low end starter in super flex leagues.

These takes are all predicated on something “not so good” happening to the starter or a change in team occurs. I am not advising to roster these players over players that currently start. Instead, in deep dynasty leagues with a plethora of bench spots, these players may prove useful if needed. Last year, I added PJ Walker and stashed him. Now, I have a low end starter on a team that didn’t require resources to get him. Dynasty football is a “long” game and the teams that focus on this year alone will be certain to struggle in the future.

Three’s Company? 

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Three's Company? 

By Joe Goodwin

At this point in the fantasy football cycle, you are probably being overloaded with the amount of information that is available to you.  One article claims a player is a “league winner,” while another puts that same players on the “Do Not Draft” list.

Needless to say, conflicting information can be troublesome for most fantasy managers.

A fantasy point that always gives me pause is the idea that an offense can have multiple high-end fantasy producers all on the same field.

I looked into that very premise to determine if that is true or not.

Last year, I found 2 examples of a fantasy explosion (3 receivers in the top 36 and a RB in the top 24) from one team:

Cincinnati Bengals: Ja’Marr Chase (WR5, 305 pts), Tee Higgins (WR24, 219 pts), Tyler Boyd (WR31, 183 pts) and Joe Mixon (RB4, 288 pts).

Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Mike Evans (WR9, 262 pts), Chris Godwin (WR15, 242 pts), Rob Gronkowski (TE7, 171 pts) and Leonard Fournette (RB6, 343 pts).

I should also mention that the Pittsburgh Steelers were very close to qualifying for this study:

Diontae Johnson (WR8, 274 pts), Chase Claypool (WR37), Pat Friermuth (TE13) and Najee Harris (RB3, 300 points).

So, with these examples, can we predict whether these teams can produce in that same manner:

Las Vegas: DaVante Adams, Hunter Renfrow, Darren Waller, Josh Jacobs

Pittsburgh: Diontae Johnson, George Pickens, Chase Claypool, Pat Friermuth, Najee Harris

Philadelphia: AJ Brown, DeVonta Smith, Dallas Goedert, Miles Sanders

Buffalo: Stefon Diggs, Gabriel Davis, Dawson Know, Devin Singletary

Denver: Jerry Jeudy, Cortland Sutton, Albert Okwuegbunam, and Javonte Williams

Minnesota: Justin Jefferson, Adam Thielen, Irv Smith, Dalvin Cook

Cincinnati: Ja’Marr Chase, Tee Higgins, Tyler Boyd, Joe Mixon

With the 2 teams that accomplished that feat last year, both were led by top tier quarterbacks Tom Brady (QB3) and Joe Burrow (QB8) with offenses that finished 2nd and 7th respectively in total points and 1st and 7th in passing yards.  And, each team had a run game that was overall in the bottom 10 of the league (Tampa Bay was 25th and Cincinnati was 22nd)

So, with all that being said, what key elements are we looking for in order for a team to support 3 top 36 receivers?

Key Point 1: A team with the requisite 3 receivers to achieve Top 36 WR or Top 12 TE

Key Point 2: Top Tier QB 

Key Point 3: Overall Offenses that finish in the top ten in total points and passing yards

Key Point 4: Run Offense is bottom 10 of the league

As we analyze each team and how they relate to each key point, let’s see where we stand:

Oakland: Point 1, Point 3, Point 4 

{I’m sure some would argue that Carr is a top tier qb, but are you drafting him in your top 8 qb’s?}

Pittsburgh: Point 1, Point 4

{Pitt has the weakest qb and middle of the pack offense}

Philadelphia: Point 1, Point 3, Point 4 

{Jalen Hurts will have to prove he can be top tier first}

Buffalo: Point 1, Point 2, Point 3

{Run game is strong on Buffalo}

Denver: Point 1, Point 2

{Hard to project with the massive upgrade in QB in the offseason on where the offense will finish; Seattle was middle tier in offense stats}

Minnesota: Point 1

{This is not a dart at Cousins, more like a “wait and see” approach with the new offense}

Cincinnati: Point 1, 2, 3, 4

{Let’s hope the improved offensive line helps continue to the trend}

Based on this data, the four teams most likely to support 3 top 36 receivers are: Cincinnati, Oakland, Philadelphia and Buffalo.  

So, if you try to convince yourself to draft Jeudy from Denver or Claypool from Pittsburgh later in your draft in the hopes they can pay off….chances are more likely they will not.

And, if you want to wait a few rounds and grab a receiver like DeVonta Smith and Tyler Boyd after the 7th round, chances are good they may hit as a top 36 receiver.

Remember the numbers don’t lie!!  Only 2 NFL teams supported multiple fantasy starters in one lineup last year and most likely, that trend will continue again this year.

 

As always, “Come and knock on my door” if you need any fantasy help @JGoody77 on Twitter

 

Veterans and Dynasty Value

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Veterans and Dynasty Value

By Tim Lazenby

It’s impossible to overlook the effect of Father Time in fantasy football when it comes to dynasty format.  But just because a player isn’t as young as he once was, it doesn’t mean his value is nil.  I’m going to give you three players at each skilled position to target knowing full well my projected shelf life of elite play.  Let’s begin with the tight ends.

Tight Ends

The fall off age for a player depends on position and at tight end, the magical age is 28.  Although there are rarities, statistics show that after the age of 27, you see less tight ends dominating and the drop off in contribution beginning.  Let me give you one veteran to target for this year, one who will be good for a couple seasons and one who will be good for three or more.

Very Relevant for Next Year

Gerald Everett (28) is a good target for this category.  While he’s not in the upper echelon of tight ends, his value should go way up now that he’s with Justin Herbert and Co.  I do fear that he’s a temporary fix, but when he is priced at TE21 (166 overall), the price doesn’t get much better.  If we’ve learned anything from this team, it’s that they love to throw.  And this should be exploited even more as this will be the best offensive tight end he’s played with.

He’s Got a Couple Years

Zach Ertz (31) is a great target if you’re looking for a guy with a couple years of solid fantasy play.  It may surprise some to know that after the trade to Arizona, Zach Ertz was the TE6 on the season.  And while Marquise Brown hurts his value, I don’t think Ertz will subside greatly.  It’s also going to take a couple seasons for Trey McBride to claw his way to the top of the depth chart, but even when he does, Ertz has shown he can share a field with a partner.

Good to Go for 3-5 Years

Call me crazy, but I think we still have tons of time left to appreciate the legend of Travis Kelce (32).  A unicorn in his own rite, Kelce has been nothing but dominant since day one.  With the receiving room having been overhauled in Kansas City, there is no doubt in my mind that Kelce will be targeted more now than ever.  Lastly, for those scared off by his age, legends Tony Gonzalez and Jason Witten have both played over twice the amount of career games as Kelce.  While that may not be a guarantee of how long Kelce will play, he’s certainly got lots of time left.

Wide Receiver

For me, the magical age for fall off when it comes to wide receiver is 29.  There is a rapid decline once you cross over into the 30s, but that doesn’t mean that all players are dead in the water after their twenties.  Let’s throw three wide receivers, at least 29 years old, at you who are still elite in dynasty.

Very Relevant For Next Year

There’s a lot that makes fantasy managers nervous about Robert Woods (30) moving forward.  Just coming off injury and moving to a new system can be nerve wracking, but the price is right.  Despite competition in Treylon Burks, that’s where the list ends.  It also helps Woods’ case that stud Derrick Henry is coming off an injury himself, so they can’t pound the rock as hard as they want.  At WR38 (101 overall), his price has never been this good since his days in Buffalo.  Treylon will take over, make no mistake, but this season Robert Woods has a real shot at WR2 status.

He’s Got a Couple Years

With my second Charger in this article, we can’t overlook the glaring value of Keenan Allen (30).  Since 2018, Keenan Allen is the only wide receiver to get over 130 targets every season.  The early years with injuries haven’t been forgotten for some, so take advantage.  And make no mistake, this receiver room belongs to Keenan Allen, not Mike Williams.  He’s also being drafted in the 30s in some circumstances.  Go after a manager who only sees him as a one year player and take Allen all the way to the championship.

Good to Go for 3-5 Years

Davante Adams (29) is the only 99 wide receiver on Madden.  And even though many people disagree with many ratings, most agree on this one.  That being said, some are concerned now that Davante is going from Aaron Rodgers to Derek Carr.  I’m going to go on record and state that talent is talent.  Adams is special and he’ll shine no matter where he goes.  It also doesn’t hurt that I think Carr is underrated.  I can’t see a world in which Davante Adams isn’t elite for at least another 3-5 years and hopefully you can’t either.

Running Backs

Everyone knows that the shelf life is the shortest with the running back.  Being the most physical position in the league, it makes complete sense.  It’s also the hardest to find true value.  Once a running back hits 26 years old, I begin to get nervous.  Here is a list of three running backs, 27 or older, to consider under the previous noted criteria.

Very Relevant for Next Year

The list of running backs is more sparse than other positions.  Ezekiel Elliott (27) is a name this season, in dynasty, that many managers are treating like a ghost.  It makes sense as 2021 was his worst year to date, but let’s not forget the situation the man is in.  It is true that Tony Pollard is chomping at the bit, but the reality is that the Cowboys are far too financially invested in Zeke to not showcase him.  He still also plays behind arguably the best O-line in the league and the passing options have decreased from last year.  Zeke has never been cheaper.

He’s Got a Couple Years

Going back to back and featuring Titans, I’m going with Derrick Henry (28) here.  I can’t recall a more dominant runner in recent history than Henry.  A giant among mortals, Henry broke many hearts as he went down with injury last season.  And while I don’t think he’ll be up to speed immediately, it won’t take forever.  The cupboards are also not overflowing with running backs to take a stab at his crown.  In redraft, he’s still quite expensive, but in dynasty he’s ripe for the picking.

Good to Go for 3-5 Years

I’d be lying if I thought any running back over 26 could be a surefire bet to fit this category, but if you’re forcing my hand, I’m going right back to the Chargers in Austin Ekeler (27).  I know I’m super pro-Chargers here, but there is good reason to be.  If the Chargers hadn’t drafted Isaiah Spiller, I’d be more nervous, but this gives shelf life to Ekeler.  Now he doesn’t have to be on the field all the time and he can be used in far less physical situations.  Much like Henry, in redraft the value is high, but in dynasty, you can still make a profit.

Quarterbacks

Lastly, we move on to the most critical role in all of sports.  In fantasy, especially if you are playing 2 QB or superflex, hitting the right value on quarterbacks is essential.  The longevity of a quarterback is the best of the bunch, but that also makes it harder to take advantage of a good value.  Once a quarterback hits 33 years old, I get leery.  But, have no fear, as I am going to give you three quarterbacks to go for in dynasty who are 34 year old or more.

Very Relevant for Next Year

Well, this category was much easier than the others as there are only four starting quarterbacks that are 34 or older.  The answer to this first one is quite simple.  Although Tom Brady is one I’d take for sure for next year’s value, I’m going Aaron Rodgers (38) because I want a chance at more years.  Though Rodgers is signed for multiple years, I never quite trust him.  And for that reason, if you’re only focused on winning the championship, he’s a great target.   With many worried managers just wanting him off their plate and willing to sacrifice the value, the time is now to go for A-Rod in dynasty.

He’s Got a Couple Years

Although for many young fans, Matt Ryan (37) is all they’ve ever known of Atlanta, he’s getting a fresh start in Indianapolis.  And while he isn’t the MVP he once was, there’s still plenty left in the tank.  With no ready option for the Colts under center, Matt Ryan will have a few years to show off his skills.  And as the QB21 (151 overall) in drafts, there are plenty of managers not seeing his full value.  He’s one of the few late quarterbacks with the upside of a QB1.

Good to Go for 3-5 Years

It should come to no surprise that Matthew Stafford (34) will be the winner of this category.  Even if he wasn’t elite, which he is, his Super Bowl win will give him ample time to stick around in one of the league’s best offenses for years to come.  Like previous entries in this article, the value may not be there in redraft, but in dynasty, Matthew Stafford may have the biggest value and upside of any quarterback in the league.