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DJ Moore

Dynasty Impact: Bears Trade 1.01 to Carolina

March 10, 2023 by Jonathan Walker

Dynasty Impact: Bears Trade 1.01 to Carolina

By Johnathan Walker

 

Wow! The Chicago Bears have traded the 2023 #1 overall draft pick to the Carolina Panthers, who gave up an arm and a leg. Here's the full details:

Compensation update, per sources: Bears trading No. 1 overall pick to Carolina for:

šŸˆpick No. 9
šŸˆpick No. 61
šŸˆa first-round pick in 2024
šŸˆa second-round pick in 2025
šŸˆWR DJ Moore pic.twitter.com/hHrHn1UIR2

— Adam Schefter (@AdamSchefter) March 10, 2023

 

What a haul for the Bears! With that being said, did the Bears just find their WR1 of the future? Maybe so.. DJ Moore is a young, very talented WR and has shown his talent in Carolina and he will give Justin Fields a suitable WR. Fields was able to showcase his running ability last year due to not having a WR1. Now with Chicago having a defined WR1, how will teams defend both the pass and Fields’ ability to run the ball? With north of $92 Million in cap space the Bears seem to be looking to make a deep playoff run this season. What moves will be made in free agency?

So what does this trade tell us about the Carolina Panthers? Do they believe they can find a new WR1 in free agency with approximately $23.5 Million in cap space? Carolina seems to be re-building the team around a rookie QB.Ā 

CJ Stroud is now the frontrunner to be the #1 overall pick.Ā  The former Buckeye QB has elite traits, but can he win without elite weapons around him?Ā  At Ohio St, Stroud was surrounded with A1 WRs and RBs to go along with a very good OL.Ā  Carolina currently has none of those.

Jonathan Walker
Jonathan Walker

Filed Under: Offense Tagged With: Carolina Panthers, Chicago Bears, CJ Stroud, DJ Moore, Justin Fields, NFL Draft

Dynasty League’s Closing Windows

September 24, 2022 by Joel Wirth

Dynasty League's Closing Windows

By Joel Wirth

Dynasty players are all about the long view, but player values are fluctuating on a week-to-week basis. Two weeks ago, Amon-Ra St. Brown was a divisive back-end WR2 (although, I seem to recall someone extolling his virtues a while back on this very site https://dynastyprosfootball.com/objects-in-the-rear-view-mirroramon-ra-st-brown/), now he’s trading for no less than a 2023 1st plus a productive player. Paying market rate for a player today can be a clear win next week if that player’s value takes off in-between. With that in mind, let’s take a look at a few players who you may want to look into trading for now before their value goes up and their trade window closes.

The Youngsters

Treylon Burks/Chris Olave

Dynasty veterans know the rule of thumb with rookie receivers is let them struggle early, then trade for them right before they learn the speed of the game, get in sync with their QB, and they start producing fantasy points. Garrett Wilson has shown us that sometimes happens sooner than we expect, even if they’re not Ja’Marr Chase-level talents. Burks and Olave could be the next two in line for feature roles. Tennessee looks like a flat out bad team and Derrick Henry looking like he’s running through molasses should lead to more passing volume and more garbage time than we’re used to with this team. Olave’s advanced metrics show a star in the making. Jameis Winston’s hideous early season inefficiency is the only thing holding him back right now. Neither of these two are exactly cheap, they still have most of their rookie draft shine, but like Wilson, they’re one elite game away from being highly coveted assets.

CeeDee Lamb/Kyle Pitts

Going into the season, Lamb and Pitts were two of the most valuable dynasty properties you could have; young, supremely talented, in great situations, and in Pitts’ case, playing an exceptionally scarce position. Real or perceived, their early season struggles have made them available for costs that would have been unthinkable on Labor Day. In one of my leagues, Pitts was traded for Darren Waller and Clyde Edwards-Helaire. That offer would have been laughed at and insta-rejected not that long ago. At this point, it really can’t hurt to ask and see if they’re available at all. These two are Burks & Olave on steroids. One good game and they go back to being nigh-untouchable.

Travis Etienne

During best ball draft season, Etienne was the RB hotness. Two weeks into the season, James Robinson is unexpectedly back and Etienne is being benched in fantasy. That sound you hear is BUY LOW sirens going off. Much like Cam Akers, Robinson coming back from an Achilles injury so soon is a great story, but he’s been very inefficient, averaging less than 4 YPC. His value is being entirely propped up by touchdowns and Etienne’s high profile sure-touchdown drop on 4th down in the opener. Once those normalize, Etienne will go back to being the RB to own in Jacksonville, which will be a good thing, because…

Trevor Lawrence

Jacksonville is like Old Faithful right now. You can feel the rumbling under your feet, you know the explosion is coming, you just don’t know when. Once the geyser blows, TLaw will jump up to and potentially surpass Joe Burrow status in superflex. He’s still the elite, generational prospect we saw in college and expected on Draft Day ā€˜21. Urban Meyer wrecked his rookie season, but even through that haze you can still see the Andrew Luck upside. If there are still doubters, relieve them of their burden.

Elijah Moore

Yes, Garrett Wilson is this week’s WR hotness, but don’t forget about Moore. He’s no less talented because he has another talented teammate in the WR room. Zach Wilson is due back imminently and we know he has more time together with Moore than Wilson. Plus, if (Zach) Wilson can live up to his draft pedigree, there will be plenty of room at the table in this offense for both to eat.

The Seasoned Vets

De’Andre Hopkins

This is simple math. After Week 3, he’ll be half way through his suspension and his managers will take an ā€œI’ve held this long, why should I sell nowā€ attitude, and deservedly so. If the DHop manager in your league is off to a slow start, now is the perfect time to go after him.

Travis Kelce

A 5/50/0 line in a prime time game is as bad as Kelce’s ever going to look, and for a Tight End, it’s still really not bad at all. You probably have until exactly 1:00 PM EDT Sunday to get him at the most modest of discounts. Be sure to mention how positively elderly Kelce is looking in your proposal.

Chris Godwin

The hamstring injury is legitimately the best thing that could have happened to him, forcing the Bucs to give his reconstructed knee additional time to heal. Like DHop, if his manager is off to a slow start and you can afford the downtime, see what it would take to get Godwin onto your roster.

D.J. Moore

He’s the same guy he’s always been. Carolina’s offense has unsurprisingly struggled coming together early, despite the expectations of default QB improvement. If Moore is the victim of over-inflated pre-season expectations, get him now before the Panthers pull it together.

Diontae Johnson

Speaking of guys who are what they’ve always been… You’ll likely have to wait until next week to make this deal go down since he played Thursday, but he has double digit targets in every game so far. The Steelers now have a ā€œmini-byeā€ to self-scout and figure out how to start scoring touchdowns. Coming back against the Jets won’t hurt that effort, but it may tank your chances of trading for Diontae at value once he goes off.

Donovan Peoples-Jones

We end with a low cost/no cost long term stash. The window isn’t closing on this one so much as slowly shimmying down the sill. DPJ’s deep threat talents are a terrible match for Jacoby Brissett’s game-manager arm. Once Deshaun Watson’s suspension is over, look for him to get DPJ involved in the offense in ways he currently cannot be.

Joel Wirth
Joel Wirth

Filed Under: Offense Tagged With: CeeDee Lamb, Chris Godwin, Chris Olave, DeAndre Hopkins, Diontae Johnson, DJ Moore, Donovan Peoples-Jones, Elijah Moore, Kyle Pitts, Travis Etienne, Travis Kelce, Trevor Lawrence, Treylon Burks

Dynasty Dilemma: DJ Moore

April 4, 2022 by Ryan Ramsarran

Dynasty Dilemma: DJ Moore

By Ryan Ramsarran

 

DJ Moore entered the league in 2018 but it feels like he’s one of those guys who has been in the game for much longer than that. Moore just got a 3Ā  year extension from the Panthers and will be with the team until 2025. He is in an interesting position in dynasty fantasy football since there are a lot of managers trying to sell, but a lot also hoping to buy.Ā 

 

DJ Moore has been in the league for 4 years now, and he is still only 24 years old. Fun Fact: Moore is the only wide receiver in the ENTIRE NFL that has had at least 1200 scrimmage yards in each of the last 3 seasons (2019-2021). He also ranks 4th in receiving yards (3,525) among wide receivers over the last 3 seasons as well. Moore managed to pull off these stats with perhaps the worst QB history among all receivers in the NFL right now. Since coming into the league, he’s had Cam Newton, Taylor Heinicke, Kyle Allen, Teddy Bridgewater, Will Grier, PJ Walker and Sam Darnold as his QB’s. Yikes. GET THIS MAN A REAL QB!! In the upcoming draft, Carolina has the 6th overall pick and won’t have their next pick until 137th overall. I highly doubt they would wait for a QB- and I am very confident in the Panthers choosing a QB at #6. Most mock drafts have them drafting a QB at #6 but they could also take the ā€œtankā€ route and run with Sam Darnold to get a high pick in 2023 (which is a stronger QB class). Either way, it won't be too long before DJ Moore has a proper QB and can put up strong numbers. In 2021, Moore commanded a 28.4% Target Share which was 4th overall among wide receivers. He is clearly the alpha on the Panthers and will surely get a serviceable QB either this year or the next.Ā 

 

 

There are a few reasons to sell Moore, but they are not specifically related to his stats but more on the Panthers as an organization. Saying the Panthers are a complete mess right now would be an understatement.Ā  Matt Rhule has proven that he is an unserviceable NFL head coach, but for some reason the Panthers continue to keep him as the leader of the team. Then there's the QB situation. The Panthers have had a carousel of QB’s last year and have not solved the problem in free agency. Last year Sam Darnold, Cam Newton, and PJ Walker started at QB and all showed that they are no longer serviceable NFL starters. Carolina was one of the front runners in the Deshaun Watson sweepstakes but ultimately lost it to the Browns. Guys like Jimmy Garoppolo and Baker Mayfield might still be available via trade, but at this point Carolina seems set on Darnold being the starter for 2022. Carolina ranked 28th in the league in Red Zone Attempts (47) and 25th in First Downs (322). With Darnold at QB and Rhule as HC, this offense will rank near the bottom of the league once again and DJ Moore’s value and stats will be a huge victim of the terrible team play.Ā 

 

A lot of people look at Player > Situation in determining a player's value when it comes to dynasty fantasy football yet it’s overlooked a lot when it comes to DJ Moore. Carolina is a complete mess right now but DJ Moore has still managed to put up WR2 numbers with below average QB play. Moore is a young and talented receiver and is an average QB away from being a WR1 in fantasy football. Therefore, he is a huge BUY.Ā 

 

 

Follow me on Twitter @RyanRamsarran

Ryan Ramsarran

Filed Under: Offense Tagged With: Carolina Panthers, DJ Moore, Dynasty Dilemma

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