Tim Lazenby

AFC Wildcard Showdowns 2023

by

AFC Wildcard Showdowns 2023

By Tim Lazenby

 

Miami Dolphins (7) at Buffalo Bills (2)

 

Last Game

Buffalo won 32-29 (Dec 17, 2022)

All Time Record

Miami Leads 61-52-1, Last met in the playoffs in 1998

 

Miami Dolphins 9-8-0

The Dolphins have had a whirlwind season to say the least.  Under first year coach Mike McDaniel, the Dolphins have been arguably the top team in the NFL at not knowing what you’re going to get.  Beginning with a three game winning streak, they followed with a three game losing streak.  Then a five game winning streak, followed by a five game losing streak.  Ultimately, they won when they needed to in the last game of the season against the Jets, ugly as it was.  You have to question which Miami team will show up in the Wild Card matchup.

Miami Offense per game

Passing 265.4 (4th), Rushing 99.2 (25th), Points 23.4 (11th), 3rd down % 36.2 (24th)

Miami Defense per game

Passing 234.8 (27th), Rushing 103.0 (4th), Points 23.5 (24th), 3rd down % 41.6 (24th)

 

Miami Top Storyline

As talented as many of the players are in Miami, the top storyline in Miami continues to be what it has been since the draft in 2020.  Tua Tagovailoa has been one of the most controversial draft picks in recent memory and a player who is truly polarizing.  This season has been scary at times when you watch his concussion issues, but when he’s playing, he’s been incredible.  The efficiency and patience has been astounding and arguably the league’s best receiving duo has benefited tremendously.  If Tua isn’t at 100%, it’s going to be a rough ride against one of the league’s best teams.

 

Buffalo Bills 13-3-0

The Buffalo Bills have been amazing this year, just like the past couple years, but the injury of Damar Hamlin has been the entire focus it seems since the canceled game between Buffalo the Bengals.  The Bills could have shut down completely after Hamlin’s tragedy, but this team is using his miraculous recovery as fuel for their fire.  The Bills are dominant on all sides of the ball and even with a missing game, they’ve still claimed the 2nd seed in the AFC.  There aren’t many more teams more terrifying to face in the Wild Card than Buffalo.

 

Buffalo Offense per game

Passing 258.1 (7th), Rushing 139.5 (7th), Points 28.4 (2nd), 3rd down % 50.3 (1st)

Buffalo Defense per game

Passing 214.6 (15th), Rushing 104.6 (5th), Points 17.9 (2nd), 3rd down % 37.5 (7th)

 

Buffalo Top Storyline

We all know the offense is spectacular, but against the high powered Dolphins, the defense will need to come to play,  And while the ground game of the Dolphins has been lackluster at times, one of the league’s best passing teams makes up for that inefficiency.  Every team suffers with injuries, but many have forgotten the Bills are without Von Miller and Micah Hyde.  Their replacements will be at front and center, needing to carry the load against Tua, Tyreek and Waddle.  Aside from that, we all know Damar Hamlin is going to be a big part of this postseason even though he won’t touch the field.  I, for one, am in awe of what he has done.

 

How Miami Will Win

It’s obvious that Miami will make an attempt to expose Buffalo’s secondary.  If the Bills have a weakness, it’s against opposing team’s receivers and luckily enough, Miami has two of the best.  That being said, the lack of a running game, combined with an elite receiving game can make Miami predictable.  Raheem Mostert and Jeff Wilson Jr will be the key to taking down Buffalo and allowing the Dolphins to win their first playoff game in over twenty years.  If the running backs in Miami don’t bring it, it’s over real quick.

 

How Buffalo Will Win

The Bills are set to be one of the biggest favourites in the opening round.  On paper, they appear almost unbeatable, but all teams have a chance to lose, especially when it’s all on the line.  I know every team has a main option, but the Bills dependency on the Allen-Diggs connection could be their undoing.  I know the Dolphins don’t have a great secondary on paper, but unless others step it up, the double teams on Diggs could prove too much.  Diggs has yet to score against Miami and although the Bills won the last one, Miami took the first.

 

Prediction

Bills win comfortably by more than a touchdown.

 

 

Baltimore Ravens (6) at Cincinnati Bengals (3)

 

Last Game

Cincinnati wins 27-16 (January 8, 2023)

All Time Record

Baltimore leads 28-26, The two have never met in the playoffs

 

Baltimore Ravens 10-7-0

It’s actually quite amazing how Baltimore has won ten games despite the adversity.  In case you didn’t know it, the starting quarterback has missed 5 games, the starting running back has missed 9 games and the starting wide receiver has missed 11 games.  That’s not even including injuries on defense and other players.  You can only imagine the success they’d have if the team was fully healthy.  You play with the hand you’ve been dealt and the Ravens have played quite admirably.  

 

Baltimore Offense per game

Passing 178.8 (28th), Rushing 160.0 (2nd), Points 20.6 (19th), 3rd down % 41.7 (11th)

Baltimore Defense per game

Passing 232.2 (26th), Rushing 92.1 (3rd), Points 18.5 (3rd), 3rd down % 34.9 (4th)

 

Baltimore Top Storyline

Obviously, all eyes will be watching to see if Lamar Jackson will be ready come game time.  Baltimore has played just well enough in his absence, but the team isn’t even remotely close to its capability without him.  The Ravens have made it to the playoffs every year with Lamar other than last season, but I’m sure he’d like to make it past the opener, which he’s only done once.  I’m also watching veterans like Calais Campbell, Justin Houston, Jason Pierre-Paul and what could be their last chances at glory.  Campbell, in particular, has been in the league for 15 seasons.  Will this be his last?

 

Cincinnati Bengals 12-4-0

The Bengals are one of those teams that just ooze swagger.  With Joe Cool leading the way, the young and talented group continues to prove that last season was no fluke.  Featuring one of the best offenses in the league and a much improved defense, the Bengals are out for revenge and trying to kill the narrative that they won’t return to the big game once again.  Only this time, the Bengals won’t be the underdog and everyone is aching for the chance to take the big dog down.

 

Cincinnati Offense per game

Passing 265.0 (5th), Rushing 95.5 (29th), Points 26.1 (7th), 3rd down % 46.1 (3rd)

Cincinnati Defense per game

Passing 229.1 (23rd), Rushing 106.6 (7th), Points 20.1 (5th), 3rd down % 39.6 (20th)

 

Cincinnati Top Storyline

Many will be focusing on Joe Burrow in the playoffs once again, but my storyline in Cincinnati is Ja’Marr Chase.  He’s out to prove that he’s the best receiver in the game and he’ll do all he can to make sure you know it.  As good as he is in the regular season, he shattered the record for yards by a rookie in the playoffs last year.  He was wide open and waiting for that SuperBowl sealing catch, but Burrow just couldn’t get it to him.  I’m sure that Chase has that thought running through his mind as he’s more prepared than ever to taste glory from the Lombardi Trophy.

 

How Baltimore Will Win

Batimore’s path to victory relies on their most underrated strength.  While other teams like San Francisco and Denver get accolades for their defensive prowess, the Ravens are often pushed aside in this regard.  And while Lamar is Lamar and the ground game is inspiring, that defense led by Mike McDonald will be the greatest weapon in overcoming the Bengals.  That being said, the secondary hasn’t been as good as it should be and the Bengals know it.  If they don’t stop the receiving trifecta for the Bengals, I fear that Lamar won’t have enough magic to carry the load on his own.

 

How Cincinnati Will Win

There are two obvious ways that the Bengals will win against the Ravens.  Of course we can talk about JaMarr Chase, Tee Higgins and Tyler Boyd, but there’s another path they need to take against the Ravens.  At the risk of sounding contrarian, despite the Ravens weakness in the secondary, the Bengals must up their ground game.  Attacking the Ravens greatest strength may seem stupid, but it’s also very unwise to be obvious in your attack.  Joe Mixon has not been the same as he was last year and it’s about time he got back to his dominant ways.  Can Mixon step it up when he’s needed the most?

 

Prediction

Cincinnati wins by two touchdowns.

 

 

Los Angeles Chargers (5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (4)

 

Last Game

Jacksonville wins 38-10 (September 25, 2022)

All Time Record

Los Angeles leads 9-4, The two teams have never met in the playoffs

 

Los Angeles Chargers 10-7-0

Massive bias Alert!  If you don’t know already, my favourite team is the Chargers, but I swear I’ll try to be unbiased.  That being said, there’s a lot to love and also a lot to be worried about.  In their first playoff action since 2018, Brandon Staley and Justin Herbert will try their best as rookies in the postseason.  The Chargers were arguably the most injured team in the NFL this year, so they’ve certainly struggled with inconsistency.  But despite their last game, a loss against the lowly Broncos, they were finally looking dominant like many predicted.  Which Chargers team will show up in the Wild Card though?  I hope it’s the team from the four game winning streak.

 

Los Angeles Offense per game

Passing 269.6 (3rd), Rushing 89.6 (30th), Points 23.0 (13th), 3rd down % 43.6 (8th)

Los Angeles per game

Passing 200.4 (7th), Rushing 145.8 (28th), Points 22.6 (21st), 3rd down % 39.2 (17th)

 

Los Angeles Top Storyline

Virtually everyone will say that Justin Herbert is the top storyline heading into the playoffs and I couldn’t agree more.  The Chargers have been very blessed at quarterback over the years.  Players like Philip Rivers, Drew Brees, Stan Humphries and Dan Fouts have all had their chance at glory, but fallen short.  The Chargers have only five playoff wins this millenia, and the Bolts faithful are eager to win under Staley’s regime.  Los Angeles, once again, will have a young, elite option at the helm and we’ll see if he can be the first one to win it all.  Go and get it done, Justin!

 

Jacksonville Jaguars 9-8-0

No one can deny the talent on this roster, but many did before the season began.  Sure, the season hasn’t been the most consistent, but the Jaguars have been fantastic as of late.  Since their bye week, the Jags have gone 6-1-0 and have scored 27 points per game.  And in their last three games, they’ve limited opponents to just 7 points per game.  You can’t ignore the fact that the team is inexperienced, but with SuperBowl winning coach Doug Pederson breathing new life into this organization, his experience is all they will need.

 

Jacksonville Offense per game

Passing 232.9 (10th), Rushing 124.5 (14th), Points 23.8 (10th), 3rd down % 41.9 (9th)

Jacksonville Defense per game

Passing 238.5 (28th), Rushing 114.8 (12th), Points 20.6 (12th), 3rd down % 43.2 (29th)

 

Jacksonville Top Storyline

Much like the Chargers, the Jaguars also have a young, elite option at quarterback who will get his first shot in the playoffs.  Under Urban Meyer, many people thought Trevor Lawrence was a terrible player, but turns out, we can ignore that forgotten season as Lawrence has been dynamite.  The scrappy Jags are out to prove their worth and the validity of their free agents’ “questionable” contracts.  In one of the best quarterback battles of the opening round, Trevor Lawrence will be sure to give it his all in his first meaningful game in the NFL.

 

How Los Angeles Will Win

While I’d be foolish to say the team doesn’t begin and end with Justin Herbert, we can’t forget about the impact that Austin Ekeler has on this squad.  If you take a deep look, it’s crazy to see how the wins or losses come depending on the usage and performance of Austin Ekeler.  And his usage in the passing game has made him one of the most valuable, if not the most valuable, running back in the entire NFL this year.  If the Chargers are to win, they’ll need to rely on Ekeler’s pass catching skills.  If he is not utilized in this way to ignite the offense, I wonder if the defense will be enough to hold the line when the high powered Jaguars come knocking on the door.

 

How Jacksonville Will Win

One of the biggest blemishes for the Chargers this year has been their inability to stop running backs and mobile quarterbacks.  And as good as Ekeler is, you can’t overlook the stud running back on Jacksonville’s roster.  I truly believe the Jags’ hopes and dreams will rest on Travis Etienne.  Los Angeles has one of the best offenses and their secondary is no joke, so Etienne will be key in thwarting Los Angeles’ plans on moving forward this postseason.  His combination of blazing speed, shiftiness and pass catching prowess need to be on full display come Saturday to progress past game 1.

 

Prediction

Los Angeles wins by a game winning drive field goal

 

NFC Wildcard Showdowns 2023

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NFC Wildcard Showdowns 2023

By Tim Lazenby

 

Seattle Seahawks (7) at San Francisco 49ers (2)

Last Game

San Francisco won 21-13 (Dec 15, 2022)

All Time Record

Seattle Leads 39-13, Last met in the playoffs in 2013

 

Seattle Seahawks 9-8-0

The season for Pete Carroll and crew has not gone as expected.  When you hear that term, it’s usually negative but this can’t be further from the truth in this circumstance.  After shipping out the last of their championship team in Bobby Wagner and Russell Wilson, most fans and pundits alike predicted a complete rebuild for this team.  Despite journeyman Geno Smith manning the controls, the Seahawks have not only performed better than predicted, but they’ve landed themselves with a chance to win it all. All that stands in their way is a team that is eager to make up for their SuperBowl defeat that seemingly happened just yesterday.

 

Seattle Offense per game

Passing 231.4 (11th), Rushing 120.1 (18th), Points 23.9 (9th), 3rd down % 37.8 (20th)

Seattle Defense per game

Passing 211.5 (13th), Rushing 150.2 (30th), Points 23.6 (25th), 3rd down % 42.3 (27th)

 

Seattle Top Storyline

I can’t think of a greater storyline than Geno Smith.  Once thought to be a bust, the former first rounder has stepped it up in a way that seems storylike.  The patience, poise and prowess of this veteran have been amazing, especially considering all the doubt and hate along the way.   And I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention Pete Carroll.  For years some fans and experts have linked Carroll’s past success to an insane defense and scrappy Russell Wilson, but Carroll is showing that he’s a coach who stands on his own two feet and one not to be trifled with.

San Francisco 13-4-0

The 49ers came insanely close to finishing first in the conference and gaining themselves a bye, but the slow start to the season could not be surmounted and they’ll be battling in Wild Card Week.  After starting 3-4 while losing to the likes of the Bears, Broncos and Falcons, it was a bleak look for the city of San Francisco.  Fast forward to now, the acquisition of Christian McCaffrey, emergence of Brock Purdy and a terrifying defense have allowed the 49ers to be a perfect 9-0 since their bye week.  In this time of perfection, the 49ers have outscored their opponents 274-130.

San Francisco Offense per game

Passing 226.8 (13th), Rushing 138.8 (8th), Points 26.5 (6th), 3rd down % 45.0 (6th)

San Francisco Defense per game

Passing 222.9 (20th), Rushing 77.7 (2nd), Points 16.3 (1st), 3rd down % 39.0 (16th)

 

San Francisco Top Storyline

It’s hard to look anywhere but Brock Purdy in this Wild Card matchup for me.  Featuring one of the most talented and star powered lineups in years, Mr. Irrelevant holds the fate of the organization in the palms of his hands.  You have to question when the Cinderella story ends.  In the history of the league, a rookie quarterback has never won it all, let alone even been to the big game.  But, let’s face it, the unlikely story of the 262nd pick in last year’s draft continues to cause even the most hardened hearts to soften.  Time will tell if the record books will need to be rewritten in February.

 

How Seattle Will Win

Although Kenneth Walker has been a revelation and Pete Carroll traditionally uses a run heavy offense, Geno Smith, Tyler Lockett and D.K. Metcalf will need to expose the one weakness of the 49ers defense.  Lockett and Metcalf may be one of the most underrated receiving tandems in the league, but they’ll need to be on full display.  And although Geno Smith has never started a playoff game in his career, he’ll need to dig deep into all his NFL experience thus far to out-savvy the rookie Brock Purdy.

 

How San Francisco Will Win

It’s quite obvious that the strength of the 49ers is their insanely talented defense.  Despite offensive weapons that many teams are jealous of, the defense is the meat and potatoes of this team’s success.  Limiting this very inexperienced Seattle team will be key to winning this game.  The 49ers will need to step it up with their secondary and they need to be better than their 3rd down defense has been thus far.  And while they are going in with Brock Purdy flying high, he must continue to put all doubts to rest and keep showing all the haters wrong.

Prediction

San Francisco overcomes an early deficit to win by more than a touchdown.

 

 

New York Giants (6) at Minnesota Vikings (3)

 

Last game

Minnesota wins 27-24 (December 24th, 2022)

All Time Record

Minnesota leads 18-12, Last met in the playoffs in 2001

 

New York Giants 9-7-1

Things have been rough for a while when it comes to the Giants, but thanks to a massive improvement under first year coach Brian Dabboll, this will be their first postseason trip since 2016.  After a magical 6-1 start, the wheels really fell off the cart down the stretch for the G-Men.  Fortunately, their early season success did them well enough to overcome their later stumbles.  And while the Giants face a juggernaut in the Vikings, New York certainly looks about as scrappy as they come.  We’ll see how far Dabboll can spread his magic when it really counts.

 

New York Offense per game

Passing 185.7 (26th), Rushing 148.2 (4th), Points 21.5 (15th), 3rd down % 36.8 (22nd)

New York Defense per game

Passing 214.0 (14th), Rushing 144.2 (27th), Points 21.8 (17th), 3rd down % 35.1 (5th)

 

New York Top Storyline

While all eyes lay on Saquon Barkley and his first postseason run in the NFL, I’ll be watching Daniel Jones fervently.  In one of the biggest markets in the league, it certainly hasn’t been easy on Jones.  I know he hasn’t been perfect, but the roller coaster ride in the Big Apple is either going to end terribly this offseason or continue forward in triumph.  Jones is a free agent this offseason and he happens to be one of the bigger names.  If he does well, the Giants are sure to want him back, but if Jones is a klutz in New York’s first chance since 2016, I fear Joe Schoen, who did not draft Jones, will make no qualms about starting fresh with a quarterback he gets to choose.

 

Minnesota Vikings 13-4-0

After failing to accomplish a winning record last year, management handed the keys to Kevin O’Connell in hopes that he’d right the ship.  Not only have the Vikings redeemed themselves, but their 13 win season has only been accomplished twice before in franchise history.  All eyes are on Cousins and his third fully guaranteed contract in a row to see if he can finally bring them all the way to the finish line.  They haven’t been to the Finals since 1976 and fans are getting tired of waiting.  With their best shot in years, will management be looking for a scapegoat if they fail?

 

Minnesota Offense per game

Passing 263.8 (6th), Rushing 97.7 (27th), Points 24.9 (8th), 3rd down % 41.2 (12th)

Minnesota Defense per game

Passing 265.6 (31st), Rushing 123.1 (20th), Points 25.1 (28th), 3rd down % 38.1 (11th)

 

Minnesota Top Storyline

There is no more interesting storyline in Minnesota heading into the postseason than the amount of nail biters they’ve been in.  In fact, not only have they been in a record number, but they are perfect thus far in one score games.  Lady Luck is only so generous and you have to wonder how many times they can wish on her good favour.  If the Vikings are forced into any more extremely close games, I worry they won’t be able to muster the wins much longer.  Half of the wins this year have needed game winning drives and if even four went another way, the Vikings would be playing golf.

 

How New York Will Win

Although the team runs through Saquon, he alone won’t be enough to overcome the offense from the Vikings.  Truth be told, the Vikings have a lot of talent on defense, but they haven’t looked it.  And due to this situation, the Giants will have many ways to make the Vikings pay.  That being said, if the Giants try to overuse their greatest weapon, the predictability will be their undoing.  I know the combination of having one of the best at the position and a lack of other starpower makes it tempting to lean heavily on Saquon, but I hope Dabboll will choose to spread out his offensive attempts.

 

How Minnesota Will Win

Like I mentioned earlier, the achilles heel of this team is their inability to win by large margins.  Winning nearly every game by one score is not the recipe for success.  And depending on game winning drives to get that W will only lead to failure and frustration in the long run.  It’s also important for the Vikings to step it up on defense.  Featuring a very good squad, they haven’t always looked that way.  Carrying the load, Justin Jefferson isn’t superhuman, even though he looks like it, and he needs the other side of the team to step up.  The ineffectiveness of the defense will catch up, despite the powerful offense, when games truly matter.

 

Prediction

Minnesota finally loses a one score game this year by way of a field goal.

 

 

Dallas Cowboys (5) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4)

Last game

Tampa Bay won 19-3 (Sept 11, 2022)

All Time Record

Dallas Leads 15-6-0, Last met in the playoffs in 1983

 

Dallas Cowboys 12-5-0

It’s crazy how good the Cowboys were this season without securing the top spot in the division.  Had it not been for the resurgence of the Eagles, the Cowboys wouldn’t be facing a losing team on the road.  The Cowboys are scary good.  I’ll admit, I thought they’d regress this season due to what I thought was a lack of depth but I was dead wrong.  A team that is good on all three phases, the Cowboys will be a terrifying team to face, no matter the opponent.  Will they make good on it this time around?

 

Dallas Offense per game

Passing 219.8 (14th), Rushing 135.2 (9th), Points 27.5 (4th), 3rd down % 45.5 (5th)

Dallas Defense per game

Passing 200.9 (8th), Rushing 129.3 (22nd), Points 20.1 (5th), 3rd down % 37.7 (9th)

 

Dallas Top Storyline

After winning defensive rookie of the year last season, many wondered how Micah Parsons would regress.  Let’s just say people only got a taste of what was to come.  It’s true that Dallas is full of fantastic options on defense, but it all begins and ends with Micah Parsons.  He’s truly in the upper echelon of the NFL’s most menacing defenders and it will be very interesting to see how the Cowboys’ leader on defense runs things.  He’s sure to make life miserable for any quarterback and I can’t wait to see how he kills opponents’ hopes this postseason.  He isn’t content to lose in the Wild Card again.

 

Tampa Bay Buccaneers 8-9-0

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers are miles from the SuperBowl winning team or even that of last season.  And while we can blame many of their woes on some forgivable reasons, their failure to dominate in one of the two worst divisions in football has been unnerving.  The Bucs have managed a feat that has only been done three times in the history of the league in that they have won their division with a losing record.  It seems like they’ll easily be destroyed, but let’s remember this team is full of veterans who’ve tasted glory and one of them is the best to ever play the game. 

 

Tampa Bay Offense per game

Passing 269.8 (2nd), Rushing 76.9 (32nd), Points 18.4 (25th), 3rd down % 37.4 (21st)

Tampa Bay Defense per game

Passing 203.6 (8th), Rushing 120.7 (15th), Points 21.1 (13th), 3rd down % 36.9 (6th)

 

Tampa Bay Top Storyline

How can we mention any other name or situation than Tom Brady?  It seems like he never misses.  In fact, the only season he was forced to watch other teams play in the postseason was in his rookie season of 2002.  He’s doing things that people never thought were possible and you can never count him out.  The team is far more talented than their record indicates and Brady has the ability to take it into a mode that no one else can.  Win or lose, the ride will be thrilling and one to be remembered.

 

How Dallas Will Win

The Cowboys have had tons of success this season.  The offense has scored 40 or more points four times this season and the defense has held the other team to 10 or less points five times.  But the main engine that keeps this team running smoothly is one of the best tandems in the NFL.  When Ezekiel Elliott and Tony Pollard are at their best the Cowboys are nearly unstoppable.  I’m not discounting the things that Dak, CeeDee and the defense do, but the 1-2 punch in the backfield is their bread and butter.  I don’t know many teams that are equipped to handle Zeke and Pollard.  And if forced to focus on them, the rest of the Cowboys will pick you apart.

 

How Tampa Bay Will Win

Tampa Bay has struggled in many ways this year, but the biggest has been with their ground game.  In the opposite of Dallas’ success in the backfield, the Buccaneers have the absolute worst ground game in the entire NFL and I was shocked to see it.  Leonard Fournette just hasn't been the same man from last season and Rachaad White, good as he is, can’t do it on his own.  If Dallas has a weakness on defense, it’s their inability to contain running backs and if Tampa Bay wants to have a chance at this game, they’ll need Leonard Fournette to play like he used to.

Prediction

Dallas wins, taking the lead and never looking back.

 

Ten Situations That Could Affect Fantasy Football in 2023

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Ten Situations That Could Affect Fantasy Football in 2023

By Tim Lazenby

 

Storylines of the NFL offseason are the name of the game as the fantasy season draws to a close. Obviously I, like many, am still completely invested in football heading into the real life playoffs, but as a dynasty fantasy football manager, I can’t help but look ahead.  Oftentimes, we can become lost in the headlines and what they might mean for football in the actual NFL landscape, but it’s pertinent to remember what these articles can and will mean for the future success or failure of our ever so important fantasy squads.

 

Whether it’s a change of management, new players coming on or old faithfuls leaving the nest, the impact of movement cannot be understated, as little as it may seem at the time.  Below I’ve listed ten situations that could affect fantasy football moving forward into 2023 and beyond.  Obviously some situations garner more interest than others, but each one will impact the players on your team whether for the good or bad.

 

Running Back Frenzy

Free agency at the end of the season is always exciting.  Where will Player A go?  How will Player B affect a team’s chances?  How much money will be spent on Player C?  The storylines are endless, but if there is one storyline for this off season it will be that of the running back.  I can’t remember an offseason where so many prime running backs were available.  Now, remember, just because a player is a free agent, it doesn’t mean they’ll go elsewhere, but it makes for interesting fables.  And while there is a plethora of talent available at other positions, here are some of the running backs who will be free agents at the end of the season.

 

 

Game Changing Running Backs:

Saquon Barkley, Josh Jacobs, Miles Sanders, David Montgomery, Tony Pollard

If I were to take a poll, most people would probably put Saquon Barkley at the top of the most desireable on this list, but I would be most excited about Josh Jacobs.  The man has played with a chip on his shoulder after not having his fifth year option picked up.  I find it extremely doubtful that he’d return to his current situation in Las Vegas.  Sure, they can try to franchise tag him, but I’m hoping for the best for him.  Unlike Barkley, Jacobs has been very consistent throughout his career and injuries haven’t been an issue.  And despite him leading the NFL in rushing yardage, Jacbos is still going to be cheaper.  Tony Pollard is also very interesting, but we’ll have to see how he can do as a true starter.  My guess is that Saquon and Pollard stay put anyway.

 

 

Really Good 1B Running Backs:

Devin Singletary, Kareem Hunt, Rashaad Penny, Jamaal Williams, D’Onta Foreman, Jeff Wilson Jr, Damien Harris, James Robinson

Of this list, I’d be going for Devin Singletary or Jamaal Williams for my 1B.  Unlike the others, Singletary and Williams have been fairly healthy.  If I had to pick one, however, I’m going Singletary.  The man hasn’t gotten enough credit for what he’s done.  Is he a true starter?  No.  But he’s truly underrated.  Jamaal Williams has surprised the football world by leading the league in touchdowns, but with that comes a more expensive contract.  So, if I’m managing the books, I go with the younger, cheaper option.

 

 

NFC South

One could make the argument that the most exciting division in football as a fan of the teams is the NFC South.  Before you condemn me, hear me out.  Yes, I understand it’s arguably the worst division in the NFL, but it’s also the one where you have no idea who is coming out on top.  I predicted fairly accurately about the teams other than Tampa Bay, but that’s the most exciting part.  Without a juggernaut, literally anyone can take that division.  This also means that, moving forward, it’s possible depending on this offseason that a new juggernaut could emerge.  Ironically, I believe it’s the team that everyone saw as the firesale one.  Not only are the Carolina Panthers exceeding expectations, they are also the best team in the division to make themselves better.

 

Aside from the fact that New Orleans doesn’t even own their 1st round pick, after the Christian McCaffrey trade, the Panthers now have an extra 2nd, 3rd and 7th pick.  And while there is a bit of a mess next year when it comes to the salary cap, it’s not impossible to fix.  They’ve done so much with so little and I look forward to what future the Panthers can concoct.  Sam Darnold or not, they’re in a position to get better.

 

 

2023 NFL Draft

The 2023 NFL Draft is a spectacle every year, and honestly it rivals the actual season when it comes to my excitement.  Along with the usual hustle and bustle of the draft, 2023 is going to feature some very interesting headlines.  Let’s start with the actual draft class.  While it’s true that every rookie crop is talented, The 2022 class was only really loaded at wide receiver.  The 2023 class brings far more franchise changing players, most notably at quarterback and running back.  And when it comes to fantasy, especially in superflex, this is truly tantalizing.  Let’s hope you didn’t trade away your 2023 picks.

 

I’d be remiss if I didn’t mention some interesting facts about the first round.  Houston is the most likely to land the first overall pick, and with that selection they will almost certainly grab the top quarterback.  But, in case you didn’t know, they also own Cleveland’s top pick this year, among others.  It’ll be interesting to see how the Texans choose to use those selections, but no matter what they do, the probability of no longer being the laughing stock of the league is very high.  Also of note, Miami, the Rams, New Orleans and the Browns, of course, have no first round pick.  So, we’ll see how they handle that hurdle.  And lastly, the Broncos mortgaged their future on Russell Wilson, so they will miss out on their 1st round pick, (currently the 3rd overall).  But at least they are lucky enough to own San Francisco’s (currently the 26th).

 

 

Seattle Seahawks

Credit: Joe Nicholson-USA TODAY Sports

Literally no one could have imagined how the situations of both Seattle and Denver turned out after the Russell Wilson trade.  I, like many others, predicted that the Seahawks would have finished near the bottom of the league and the Broncos would be very competitive in the “best division in football”, in the AFC West.  Well, we all had to buckle our seatbelts as the season unfolded.  Not only were the Seahawks competitive, but the Broncos have basically been a dumpster fire all season long, save the defense.  As we near the end of the season, the Seahawks are blessed with Denver’s first round pick, (currently 3rd), along with their second round pick among others.

 

General Manager John Schneider has inadvertently pulled off one of the most lopsided trades in NFL history, and that’s not an over-exaggeration, at least to this point of Wilson’s career in Denver.  Along with the plethora of picks, at this point on the books, Seattle will have the fifth most cap space in the league next season.  They only have two players with a cap hit over 10 million for crying out loud.  And if they choose to stick with Geno Smith, it’ll be stupid how much they don’t have to pay their quarterback.  If there’s an off season I’m sure to be watching, other than my Chargers, the Seahawks are right near the top.

 

 

Steve Wilks

I already spoke about the Carolina Panthers earlier, but I have to single out Steve Wilks here.  After all pundits abandoned hope for Carolina, the job that Wilks has done can’t be overlooked.  At first glance, his grasp at the helm doesn’t look stellar, but you have to remember what the man had to work with.  After being handed the keys in Arizona in 2018, his 3-13-0 record got him fired after one season.  But remember, the man was working with rookie Josh Rosen, along with 35 year old Larry Fitzgerald as the top offensive weapon and the 26th ranked defense in the league.  Given no time to build rapport or chemistry with his team, it’s impossible to know what effect he could have had.  And let’s not forget that his replacement, the guru Kliff Kingsbury, currently holds a 4-11-0 record this season, which is good for last in the division.  He has a career record of 28-35-1, featuring exactly one winning season out of four.  Steve Wilks should have been given a chance for the Cardinals.

 

In his current situation, talking over for Matt Rhule midway through the season, his 5-5-0 record doesn’t look gleaming.  But let’s remember that, up until that point, they had exactly one win while featuring way more talent, most notably in Christian McCaffrey.  Does Wilks deserve coach of the year?  Not by a long shot.  But I’m curious to see what the man can do once he is allowed to fully get his hands dirty in major decisions to make this team his own.  The Panthers have only made him the interim coach, but I worry they’ll hire the new shiny toy in the offseason to man the ship.  If Steve Wilks isn’t the captain in Carolina for 2023 and beyond, I’d wager the ship will begin to sink.

 

 

Baker Mayfield

I have to be honest with you when I say that I’ve never liked Baker Mayfield.  When the Browns had the choice to pick Mayfield, Darnold, Allen or Rosen with their first overall pick, Mayfield would have been my third choice.  I’m not an expert in college football, or even close to one, but I just didn’t see the wow factor along with the intangibles and size that one would look for in a franchise quarterback.  For some reason, he also gave me that Johnny Manziel vibe, which I thought was also incredibly ironic for all the wrong reasons.  But once he came in his first game, along with the terrible performances of Darnold and Allen to that point, I was ready to make my former apologies.  Well, turns out I was mostly right.

 

After much contemplation and evidence of Mayfield in the NFL, I was feeling more and more terrible for him.  While he hasn’t lived up to the hype, I certainly disagreed with making him the scapegoat for all the problems in Cleveland during his time there.  Seeing his limited success for the floundering Rams has been inspiring and a truly feel good situation.  Let it be known that there is a zero chance he is the starter in 2023, unless Stafford can’t come back from injury or chooses to retire.  But that doesn’t stop me from believing Mayfield will be given one more chance.  And his future employment will affect not only real life football, but fantasy aspects as well.  I’ll be watching his situation moving forward with way more intensity from last offseason, that’s for sure.

 

 

Mark Davis

Credit: Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

There aren’t many fanbases more intense than that of Raider Nation.  Despite the fact that I cheer against them constantly, as a Chargers fan, it doesn’t stop me from loving some of their players.  After making the playoffs last season, crushing my hopes and dreams along the way, it seemed all but sure they would continue their winning ways by adding arguably the best receiver in football in Davante Adams.  There were also little improvements on defense, which was one of the low points for them in 2022.  Well, much like their division counterpart in the Denver Broncos, the dreams coming true have turned into nightmares.  Much like I believe in giving a chance for the interim coach in Carolina, I believed Rich Bisaccia deserved his chance to lead the team moving forward.

 

The hiring of Josh McDaniels can’t be entirely attributed to the derailing of the Raiders, but it’s hard to ignore.  Raider Nation is tired of losing.  For a team with such a rich history, lately, it’s been awful.  Since 2002 when they lost the SuperBowl, the team has only had a winning record twice.  To roll the dice and gamble when they finally found success was mind boggling.  It all comes down to Mark Davis, who’s owned the team since inheriting it in 2011.  The changing of the guard has already begun as Derek Carr has been benched for the remainder of the season, but other hard decisions have to come.  Truthfully, the Raiders don’t have the money to fire McDaniels after already paying Gruden to not be around for years to come.  Getting creative will be necessary.  The urge to fire people or cut players can’t be the knee jerk reaction, but hard changes will need to come down the pipe, whether that be through the assistant coaches or player trades.  As much as I dislike the team, due to my love of the Chargers, I feel terrible for them.  It’s all in Mark Davis’ hands.

 

 

Philadelphia Eagles 2021-2022-future

I say it all the time, but I make mistakes constantly.  And when it comes to predictions in the NFL, that is no different.  When I saw the schedule for the 2022 season, I immediately got to work, trying to figure out how each team would fare this season.  While I was very right about a number of teams, one of them where I was terribly wrong was my decision of the welfare of the Philadelphia Eagles.  Although I had them making it to the divisional round, I also saw them with a losing record and getting demolished in said round in the playoffs.  Much to my chagrin, the Eagles have not only been successful, they’ve been outright dominant as the best team in the NFL.  But, not to look foolish again, I worry about their success moving forward.

 

I know it’s true that they’ve made it to the playoffs two of the past three years, it’s also been that of a wildcard team.  Playing in their division has made this more easily attained than others.  We also have to acknowledge that they haven’t been this much of a juggernaut since their SuperBowl win in 2017 and much of that team is gone.  Let’s also remember just how much of the team is not signed in 2023 and beyond and they aren’t even close to the top of the league in cap space.  I am well aware that the emergence of Jalen Hurts and acquisition of AJ Brown has ignited this team, setting the league ablaze, but I worry that management will not be able to retain enough talent to dominate moving forward.  All that being said, I was dreadfully wrong in my prediction last time, so it wouldn’t be shocking if I was an idiot once again.

 

 

New York Jets

If I’m rooting for a team other than the Chargers this season, it’s the New York Jets.  If you know me, it helps that I’m not a fan of the Patriots or Bills, but that’s beside the point.  And aside from the fact that they drafted my favorite rookie in last year’s crop in Sauce Gardner, I love when a team that’s been down on its luck turns things around.  Despite beginning the season 1-2-0, the Jets quickly rattled off four wins in a row and seven wins out of the next nine games.  Despite the adversity of losing Breece Hall and the debacle of Zach Wilson, there is a lot to look forward to if you bleed Gang Green. It hasn’t all been sunshine and roses, however, and the Jets have their work cut out when it comes to success in 2023 and beyond.  While it’s true that the Jets are winning games in spite of these issues and more, they still sit dead last in a very competitive division.  

 

I think we need to take a moment and discuss why this team is easily headed in the right direction.  We all know how quickly Zach Wilson imploded, but even with his play, they still have a winning record.  I’m never one to give up on a quarterback quickly, but this may be one situation where I move on at a cheetah’s pace.  Mike White has the favor of his teammates and his salary would allow the team to flourish.  The Jets aren’t in a terrible situation with the salary cap and like the Seahawks, they boast no outlandish contracts that leave them grasping at straws.  The Jets were also smart enough to keep all their picks in the first four rounds of this year’s draft.  And the continued growth of rookies like Sauce Gardner, Garrett Wilson and Jermaine Johnson lets all Jets fans breathe a sigh of relief.

 

 

Houston Texans

And last on the list is the Houston Texans.  There’s always a team with a season to forget every year, but this has been too often an occurrence in Houston.  It hasn’t always been this way though.  If you look at the 2010s, the Texans only had three seasons with losing records.  That includes six division titles despite questionable coaching and general managers.  It may seem like the Texans have been terrible forever, but that’s simply not the case.  It’s only been the last three seasons that have been ones to forget.  And like I mentioned earlier, the future of this franchise is going to start with the draft.

 

The Texans have the 2nd overall pick, along with the 12th pick in this year’s upcoming draft.  They have twelve picks this year and eleven (including two 1st) in 2024.  I’m sounding like a broken record, but this year’s class is bursting at the seams with players who can change the fate of a franchise.  The division is terrible, making a rise to the top easier, and the cap space situation is extremely admirable.  Moving on from Laremy Tunsil and Brandin Cooks, notably, will not only benefit the team in terms of opening space for other talent, but the savings would be in the tens of millions.  General manager Nick Caserio is certainly in an awkward position to say the least.  Considering what he has to work with, he’ll either turn this franchise around or be scorned for years to come.  No matter the case, I’m eager to watch it unfold.

It’s Only Week 3.. Don’t Be Dumb

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It’s Only Week 3.. Don’t Be Dumb

By Tim Lazenby

 

No matter whether you are triumphantly 2-0, mediocre at 1-1 or depressed at 0-2, there are tendencies for all of us to be dumb in our fantasy football decisions. After only 2 weeks, many people lose their minds in a good or bad way. So I thought I’d take a moment to give five pieces of advice on how to not be dumb moving forward.

 

Don’t Panic

There are numerous managers who are making terrible decisions after only 2 weeks into the 2022 season. Starting out not doing as well as you wanted is no excuse to blow up your team this early on. Stray away from making monumental moves like trades, pickups or drops if they involve your cornerstone players. You did your research and invested hours into making that team sing before the season started, so don’t cripple your team with rash decisions. Make moves involving your bench players and rely on smaller moves before you sell the farm.

 

Don’t Be Overconfident

There are many ways that a team can be perfect so far this season. Perhaps you blasted by your opponents or you crawled your way to victory. Whatever course your circumstances steered you toward, being overconfident with a winning team is kryptonite to continued success. Avoiding any moves and being content with your squad is the quickest way to sleep your way to the basement of your standings. Don’t make giant moves, but you should be continuously improving. Take advantage of panicked managers to make your team even better.

 

Don’t Touch Your Draft Picks

Unless the price is right, there is no way you should be selling off your draft picks. I can see if you are in a high money league, but even then you don’t want to follow the chance of winning with years of regret. At this point, focus on moving players only and leaving your future unchanged. The exception to this rule is if you are trading lower picks for better picks to help you later down the road without sacrificing your current state. Take a breath and dip your toes into the waiver wire and trading arena before you plunge in with both feet.

 

Don’t Forget the Good Times

You’ll always have that one league mate who is ready to throw in the towel and quit year after year. But, the same guy turns around and brags about his team’s success when things are good. If you are that guy, shame on you. But in case you are too depressed to realize what a chore you are to the rest of your league, take a moment to remember the good times in your league. Everyone loses and it’s just your time right now to take the losses. You know the league is great or you wouldn’t keep coming back. Be a better manager, dust yourself off and focus on winning this week.

 

Don’t Do Anything that You Wouldn’t Normally Do

There’s a lot to be said about going with your gut, but if it’s out of character you’re only going to regret it. Any move you make is consequential even if it doesn’t seem that way. If you are a bold player, stay that way within reason. Conversely, if you are a more timid and patient manager, don’t make big splashes that you’ll surely hate later. Bottom line, you do you. You’re going to be the one sleeping in the bed you made, for better or for worse. The vultures are always there waiting in the wings, so don’t do them any favors. The exception is that if you lose every year, you may want to change things up.

What Have We Learned? – Week 2

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What Have We Learned? Week 2

By Tim Lazenby

 

Week 2 is officially over and we trudge forward to Week 3 and beyond.  While there’s a lot to be said about the waiver wire, it’s still important to pay attention to what we already have on our squads.  It’s still early, but I hope you learned your lessons from Week 2.  Here’s what I learned and what you should do about it.

I Was Wrong About Some Fantasy Things

I need to apologize for a few things so far.  Although it’s still early, there are a few situations that are making me look terrible in fantasy football.

 

Cole Kmet

 

My fantasy love for Cole Kmet is a 0% secret from anyone in the fantasy community who has heard or read basically anything I’ve put out.  While many are having panic attacks, you should relax and be savvy.  He’s only 23 and the lack of weapons, paired with the play of Justin Fields should be the focus.  Now, more than ever, he’s a must add, whether through FAAB or trade.

 

Eagles Backfield

(AP Photo/Matt Rourke)

I’m not sure what Miles Sanders is doing differently this year, but it’s working.  Despite only 52% and 53% of the snaps, he’s dominating the team’s backfield.  That being said, I’m selling high on Sanders and still trying to acquire Gainwell.  There’s a chance I’m wrong moving forward, but I’m betting on the shared history.

 

Austin Ekeler

This one hurts as a Chargers fan.  Not only is Ekeler not doing what he should in fantasy, but it’s not even close to last season.  While the snap share is way down and we should have seen this coming, he just doesn’t look like himself when he’s on the field.  I think you need to hold, but be prepared to sell high if he lights up.

 

I Was Right About Some Fantasy Things

 

The Jets, Jaguars and Lions are all greatly improved

It seemed like most people were sleeping on these three terrible teams from last year and beyond.  The perennial woes and continued fantasy disappointments made most players on these squads unappealing.  Look for the best values and try to acquire as much of these offenses as you can.  I don’t see things going down from here.

 

You shouldn’t overlook Jahan Dotson in dynasty

There’s a reason why the Commanders paid so much in the draft for Dotson.  While he wasn’t the first receiver selected, he notably went before Treylon Burks and Skyy Moore, leaving many pundits baffled.  His talent will only force Washington to use him more and I want to get him before sleeping managers wake up.

 

Nick Chubb was and is still elite

 

Nick Chubb always has doubters in fantasy.  I know he doesn’t catch passes, but he doesn’t need to.  Despite injuries and sharing with Kareem Hunt, he still finished as RB13 in PPR last year.  He’s already running back’s top dog this year, even in PPR.  Even in a shared backfield I trust him more than most, and that ain’t gonna change.

 

Indianapolis is Terrible

(Photo by Julio Aguilar/Getty Images)

Unless they are lying, I don’t think anyone would have predicted the Colts limping so badly out of the gate.  With an “improvement” at quarterback in Matt Ryan, combined with an offense and defense that was predicted to be better in 2022, I’m sure virtually everyone is disappointed; especially fantasy managers who invested in this offense.  And while I give something of a break to them for losing DeForest Buckner and supremely talented Shaq Leonard, it’s not an excuse for this start.  A tie against the Jaguars and a utterly pathetic shutout loss to the Houston Texans leaves the team searching for answers as these two games were supposed to be gimmes.

It’s pretty bleak as a manager and moves should be made.  That being said, there is no way I am getting rid of Jonathan Taylor unless there is a king’s ransom coming my way.  Matt Ryan needs to be cut loose from your squad but Michael Pittman Jr is even more appealing to me, so I’m going hard on acquiring him from a frustrated, panicking owner.  I’m also looking to add Ashton Dulin from the waiver wire and I’m trying to trade for Alec Pierce if he’s cheap enough.

 

The Dolphins Are Out For Blood

I am happy to be one of the few who believed in Tua as a legitimate fantasy starter in the off-season, but even I didn’t predict this level of success.  Going somewhere between Week 1 and Week 2 is where I thought he would sit in fantasy value.  I was also dead wrong about Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle in 2022.  While I still thought both would be successful, I definitely saw a regression for both when they had to share the field.  My prediction of them genuinely challenging the Bills for the AFC East title is also making me look like a genius to all the haters.

Moving forward, there’s no chance you should be making a move for either Tyreek Hill or Jaylen Waddle.  But Tua Tagovailoa may be available in leagues of managers who want to sell high.  I’m a big believer in Tua moving forward just like I was in the off-season.  I am still, however, staying far away from that backfield unless I can get some of it for basically free.  And although Mike Gesicki hasn’t inspired much confidence for managers, he’s certainly worth adding at such a talent starved position.

 

Pay No Attention to Past Woes

Like any season, losing players to injury, suspension and off field issues is part of the game.  It can be maddening investing so much in a player only to watch them get zeroes across the stat line while your leaguemates dance their way to victory.  It’s always a gamble taking your chance on any player, but those who are bold enough to invest in comeback players are more stone willed than most.  We’re only two weeks into the season, but there are key players who are making those brave managers look like geniuses compared to their counterparts who passed on those types of risks.

I’m going to stay away from key defensive players who are returning from lost seasons as that’s not my area of expertise, but there are plenty of offensive players who are turning heads in 2022 that sat last year.  Those who spent high draft capital or equity to acquire or retain Saquon Barkley and Christian McCaffrey are certainly breathing sighs of relief.  But Curtis Samuel, Michael Thomas and Jameis Winston aren’t getting near enough credit.  Notably, many thought James Robinson was all but dead in fantasy but he’s back and strong enough to deny Travis Etienne Jr of his stake as the Jaguar’s starting running back.  Any of these players should be sought after if the price is right to acquire them.

 

Offense Isn’t Everything

A lot has gone wrong for certain teams that were supposedly going to be dangerous but it isn’t the defense that is letting them down.  Whether it be poor offense, lack of wins or just poor play, Green Bay, Cincinnati, Tennessee and Las Vegas are all doing well on defense even if it doesn’t exactly look that way.  If you look at opposing stats like opposing quarterback rating, yards per game and 3rd down %, it’s only a matter of time until the offense does its job for these teams.

It’s no secret that Aaron Rodgers will be fine, but his receiving core is worrisome to some.  I, however, am trying to grab them now while I can.  Cincinnati’s offense will also be just fine, so don’t panic.  That being said, I am worried about the offensive stars in Tennessee and Las Vegas.  Even though he was locked up last week, aside from Davante Adams, I’d be trying to sell as many offensive pieces of these two teams as I can as long as the price is right.  But if you’re going to get short changed, don’t do it.

 

Week 3 Predictions

Just like last week, I figured I’d share that before the season began I tried to predict every game as the schedule was released; before I even knew about injuries or anything like that.  Week 2, I went 11-5, making me 20-11 on the season.  

Pittsburgh Steelers at Cleveland Browns - Pittsburgh Steelers 

Jacksonville Jaguars at LA Chargers - LA Chargers 

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings - Minnesota Vikings

Baltimore Ravens at New England Patriots - New England Patriots 

New Orleans Saints at Carolina Panthers - Carolina Panthers 

Houston Texans at Chicago Bears - Houston Texans 

Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts - Kansas City Chiefs

Philadelphia Eagles at Washington Commanders - Philadelphia Eagles 

Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins - Buffalo Bills

Cincinnati Bengals at NY Jets - Cincinnati Bengals

Las Vegas Raiders at Tennessee Titans - Tennessee Titans

Atlanta Falcons at Seattle Seahawks - Seattle Seahawks

LA Rams at Arizona Cardinals - LA Rams

Green Bay Packers at Tampa Bay Buccaneers - Tampa Bay Buccaneers

San Francisco 49ers at Denver Broncos - Denver Broncos

Dallas Cowboys at NY Giants - Dallas Cowboys

 

 

Follow me on Twitter @NFLazenby

Week 3 Waiver Wire

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Week 3 Waiver Wire

By Tim Lazenby

 

What a Week 2, eh? Unexpected losses, dominations and unheralded heroes, Week 2 didn’t disappoint unless your team lost. Win lose or draw, we’re all looking to climb to the top of our league standings and the waiver wire helps us get there. As always, I’m ignoring players with high draft capital and ownership. I also stay away from players who are typically valued more heavily in dynasty, so you’ll see some notable omissions. Before we begin, here are some new injuries that happened in Week 2.

 

New Injuries to Take Note Of:

 

Justin Herbert - Questionable with ribs

This injury is near and dear to my heart as a Chargers fan. I, for one, hope they rest him as a Bolts boy but as a fantasy manager, you never want to see him sit. It’s hard to tell at this point what to do, but backup Chase Daniel is certainly on your waiver wire. Whatever you do, go get someone else just in case, especially in superflex.

Devin Duvernay - Questionable with concussion

Duvernay is off to a hotter start than anyone other than his mom believed he would be off to. If this was before week one, he wouldn’t even be on this list, but he’s obviously a big part of the offense. I’m not sure if I’d focus on DeMarcus Robinson or any other Ravens receiver to replace. Search elsewhere on the wire.

Alvin Kamara - Questionable with ribs

Kamara was very close to playing in week 2, so the injury shouldn’t be looked at as too serious, but if you’re worried, you can always make a move for Mark Ingram. Ingram is already taken in many leagues as the handcuff, so you’ll probably have to look elsewhere. You could roll the dice on Tony Jones for a week, but I wouldn’t.

Gabe Davis - Questionable with ankle

Like Kamara, Davis was close to playing in Week 2 and ultimately sat. Since he almost played, it seems unlikely that the injury is serious but considering how much you spend to get him, you’ll likely need a replacement. If your bench is low, I’d consider a Bills receiver for a week as Allen is capable of making anyone a star.

Hunter Renfrow - Questionable with concussion

Hunter Renfrow was used way more last week than Week 1, so it’s nice for Renfrow stockholders. That being said, the two fumbles and now a concussion aren’t. This one doesn’t look that bad, but you always want to be prepared. I’m having a hard time trusting anyone in Vegas minus Adams, so I’d look elsewhere for a replacement.

James Conner - Questionable with ankle

If you drafted or traded for Conner, I’m hoping you already have a backup plan with his injury history. Many already have Eno Benjamin as a handcuff, but he’s one of the lower owned ones. Benjamin’s certainly worth a shot if you can get him, but I wouldn’t take a shot on any other Cardinals back. Look elsewhere if Eno isn’t there.

Julio Jones - Questionable with knee

Tampa Bay is in jeopardy of losing their spot as top dogs due to their wavering receiver core. Godwin and Jones are banged up and Evans is out next week due to suspension. Tom Brady is going to continue to throw, so I’m taking shots on a couple of the Bucs receivers moving forward, but we’ll talk about that later.

Trey Lance - Out with ankle

This news is the most devastating of the entire list. Trey Lance is most certainly the cornerstone quarterback on many teams, especially and now he’s out for the year. Savvy managers already have Jimmy G as a backup plan, but he’s not all that exciting for me. Hopefully your wire has options, but you may be forced to make a trade.

Jerry Jeudy - Questionable with ribs

The injury doesn’t seem that troubling but Jeudy hasn’t been part of the issue. He’s considered day-to-day, so managers can breathe a breath of relief. Russell Wilson hasn’t looked good, so I trust no other Broncos receiver, minus Courtland Sutton, so I’m looking to the wire if Jeudy is on the mend for Week 3.

Dalton Schultz - Questionable with knee - PCL

Poor Dallas. You lost Dak Prescott and now Dalton Schultz is on the mend.The good news is that he’s not expected to miss significant time, but I’d for sure plan for an absence in week 3. The tight end position is the most talent scarce in fantasy, so your options are limited. I’d wait to hear more, but a trade may be necessary.

 

James Robinson - Jacksonville Jaguars

Much to the dismay of all Travis Etienne Jr managers, it seems as though James Robinson is not only here to stay, but he’s outright owning the backfield. At almost a 50/50 split, Robinson has been far more useful. Ranking as the 6th best PPR running back so far, if he’s out there, it’s time to get him before he’s gone.

Tyler Allgeier - Atlanta Falcons

I know I listed him last week, but it seems as though not enough people got the message. While the dynasty community is fairly high on him, even they aren’t completely sold yet. Even with Patterson playing, they split the rushes 50/50. It’s only a matter of time until Allgeier takes the backfield and you don’t want to miss out.

Jordan Mason - San Francisco 49ers

I eluded to him last week, but let’s preach a little harder. I don’t condone owning a Kyle Shanahan back, but many do. As everyone ran to get Jeff Wilson Jr, Tyrion Davis-Price stole too many touches. With TDP now on the mend, if I’m going for a 49ers back in fantasy, Jordan Mason is still free and will get touches in the future.

Other Running Back Options

D’onta Foreman - Carolina Panthers
Raheem Mostert - Miami Dolphins
Zander Horvath - Los Angeles Chargers

 

Greg Dortch - Arizona Cardinals

I was blessed with dumb luck, picking up Greg Dortch in many leagues on a whim before the season began. He’s rewarded me with a 11-118-1 line in two games. It won’t last all season, but he’s leading the team in catches, yards and touchdowns. Ride the wave for the underrated receiver, who is actually fantasy viable.

Nelson Agholor - New England Patriots

I want to almost bite my tongue as I say it, but Nelson Agholor is a player I’d spend some FAAB on. While Jakobi Meyers is still the WR to roster in New England, Agholor only has 12 yards less, has scored already and is more efficient. The Patriots aren’t the most exciting in fantasy, but Agholor is a decent option moving forward.

Scotty Miller - Tampa Bay Buccaneers

As I mentioned earlier, the Buccaneers are hurting at wide receiver. With the injuries and suspension, Tom Brady will be forced to look elsewhere at unheralded talent. He only had a 43% snap share, but still garnered 8 targets. With the YPC being pretty good, the usage is bound to go up. Brady will continue to throw, you know.

Curtis Samuel - Washington Commanders

I mentioned last week to grab him and I need to put more emphasis on it. After a wasted year last season, it’s looking like 2019. A “poor man’s Deebo”, This Samuel is being used all over. The Commanders are much better than anticipated, and I want the offense on my fantasy squad. Samuel is still super cheap. It’s a no brainer.

Sterling Shepard - New York Giants

It pains me to trust Sterling Shepard, but he’s the best option for the Giants other than Saquon. The injury risk is always looming, but when he’s on the field. He wasn’t thrilling last week, but the snap share and targets are rising and it’s only going to continue. Despite poor QB play his entire career, Shepard has done pretty well.

Other Wide Receiver Options

Josh Palmer - Los Angeles Chargers
Noah Brown - Dallas Cowboys
Breshad Perriman - Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Quez Watkins - Philadelphia Eagles
Ashton Dulin - Indianapolis Colts
Olamide Zaccheaus - Atlanta Falcons

 

 

Evan Engram - Jacksonville Jaguars

The Jaguars are much better than they get credit for, so it shouldn’t be surprising that the fantasy pieces are appealing. Smashing the Colts, Engram was the most targeted of the Jaguars players. I know he didn’t score and the yards weren’t eye popping, but he’s very much usable in PPR leagues, especially with the position so thin.

Tyler Conklin - New York Jets

Many of us were wrong when we thought Conklin would play second fiddle to Uzomah. Other than the quarterback, Conklin was the only Jets player who was on the field for 100% of the offensive plays. With 16 targets and a touchdown so far, it may surprise you to hear that Tyler Conklin is a top ten option at his position.

Other Tight End Options

Logan Thomas - Washington Commanders
Taysom Hill - New Orleans Saints

 

 

Jared Goff - Detroit Lions

That’s right. I said it. Jared Goff is my top target at quarterback this week. Not only has he been usable, but he’s been downright fantastic. He’s been a top ten option at quarterback so far. And with the weapons he has, it’s looking like he could have a career year. He’s out to squash the claims that Detroit needs to replace him.

Zach Wilson - New York Jets

Buyer beware: Zach Wilson is still out. But that doesn’t mean I am not targeting him this week. The Jets are hot on offense. Despite being led by Joe Flacco, they’ve still scored five times through the air in two games. Sure, Zach Wilson was terrible last year, but they have the best WR group in years, so I want Wilson in 2022.

Other Quarterback Options

Marcus Mariota - Atlanta Falcons
Baker Mayfield - Carolina Panthers

 

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