Bob Miller

Waiver Wire Rankings: Week 4

by

Waiver Wire Rankings: Week 4

 

Well.. Week 3 was interesting. Some of the top teams really stunk it up offensively. There were a few unfortunate injuries to the likes of Mike Willams, Gus Edwards,  . However, there were some incredible fantasy performances from players such as Keenan Allen, Raheem Mostert, Tyreek Hill, etc. I'm here to give you my waiver wire rankings heading into Week 4. Good luck.

RANK PLAYER TEAM POSITION
1Devon AchaneMIARB1
2Tank DellHOUWR1
3Marvin MimsDENWR2
4Josh PalmerLACWR3
5Kenneth GainwellPHIRB2
6Adam ThielenCARWR4
7Justice HillBALRB3
8Sam LaPortaDETTE1
9Ezekiel ElliottNERB4
10Jaylen WarrenPITRB5
11Elijah MooreCLEWR5
12Rashee RiceKCWR6
13Zach ErtzARZTE2
14Romeo DoubsGBWR7
15Josh DownsINDWR8
16Jerick McKinnonKCRB6
17Tyjae SpearsTENRB7
18Luke MusgraveGBTE3
19Jake FergusonDALTE4
20Roschon JohnsonCHIRB8
21Jordan LoveGBQB1
22Melvin GordonBALRB9
23Clyde Edwards-HelaireKCRB10
24CJ StroudHOUQB2
25Rico DowdleDALRB11

IDP Waiver Wire Rankings: Week 2

by

IDP Waiver Wire Rankings: Week 2

 

Week 1 was wild to say the least. It was packed full of excitement and disappointment. It seemed as if defensive players were scoring as much, if not more than offensive players in fantasy. There were plenty of sacks and interceptions to go around. There were also plenty of IDPs who surprised us with their performances as well. With that being said, I’m here to give you my top IDP Waiver Wire adds heading into Week 2.

RANK PLAYER TEAM POSITION
1Drake JacksonSFDL1
2Denico AutryTENDL2
3Germaine PrattCINLB1
4Dorance ArmstrongDALDL3
5Denzel PerrymanHOULB2
6Demario DavisNOLB3
7Carl GrandersonNODL4
8Jordan WhiteheadNYJDB1
9Trent McDuffieKCDB2
10Arden KeyTENLB4
11Dax HillCINDB3
12Derrick BrownCARDL5
13Keisean NixonGBDB4
14Darius SlayPHIDB5
15Andre CiscoJAXDB6
16Justin MadubuikeBALDL6
17Jadeveon ClowneyBALDL7
18Jonathan GreenardHOUDL8
19Nate HobbsLVDB7
20Jack GibbensTENLB5
21EJ SpeedINDLB6
22Robert SpillaneLVLB7
23Devonte WyattGBDL9
24Dennis GardeckARZLB8
25Yannick NgakoueCHIDL10

Waiver Wire Rankings: Week 2

by

Waiver Wire Rankings: Week 2

 

Wow, what a crazy Week 1 to start the season. No Kelce, no Andrews, JK Dobbins and Aaron Rodgers done for the year. Lots of fantasy teams were.. and are in shambles already. Now that the dust has settled from this crazy week, let’s take a look at who we should be targeting via waiver wire. Every week I will be putting out a Waiver Wire list and ranking them by priority. So without further adieu, here is my list heading into Week 2:

RANK PLAYER TEAM POSITION
1Kyren WilliamsLARRB1
2Puka NacuaLARWR1
3Tyler AllgeierATLRB2
4Gus EdwardsBALRB3
5Justice HillBALRB4
6Roschon JohnsonCHIRB5
7Rashid ShaheedNOWR2
8Zach MossINDRB6
9Hayden HurstCARTE1
10Zay JonesJACWR3
11Robert WoodsHOUWR4
12Kendrick BourneNEWR5
13Tutu AtwellLARWR6
14Joshua KelleyLACRB7
15Kenneth GainwellPHIRB8
16Zach ErtzARZTE2
17Melvin GordonBALRB9
18Luke MusgraveGBTE3
19Jaylen WarrenPITRB10
20Rashee RiceKCWR7
21Matthew StaffordLARQB1
22Mac JonesNEQB2
23Josh ReynoldsDETWR8
24Brock PurdySFQB3
25Jared GoffDETQB4
QUARTERBACK

There were so many of us who waited at quarterback and took Aaron Rodgers late. With that being said, I would be targeting quarterbacks like Matthew Stafford, Brock Purdy, or Jared Goff as a replacement. Obviously these QBs are not available if you are in a Superflex League, so I would look to acquire one of these guys via trade. If you can’t get one of these QBs, you could target Mac Jones (ugh) in desperation. Jones had a very good Week 1 and this could be a sign that he’s ready to take the next step as a viable fantasy quarterback.

 

 

RUNNING BACK

Kyren Williams had a great Week 1 with 15 carries for 52 yards and two touchdowns. He is my top waiver add this week. Now Cam Akers did get 22 carries, but didn’t do much with them, only averaging 1.3 yards per carry. Kyren Williams got the important touches, and that matters. Moving on, I have said all offseason that Tyler Allgeier was going to have a role in the Atlanta offense and could be useful. Looks like this is true, so go grab him everywhere you can get him. Atlanta runs the ball so much that both Bijan and Algeier are going to eat. 

I’m grabbing Gus Edwards and Justice Hill where I can afford it, but just not sure how the Ravens backfield is going to shake out just yet. Sunday’s Ravens/Bengals game could be a shootout, so we may not get a good idea how they’re gonna use that backfield just yet.

If you are in a dynasty league then Roschon Johnson is not available. It was only going to be a matter of time before he takes over this Bears backfield, however that may be sooner than later. He looks to be the receiving back already, so he has flex appeal immediately. Grab him wherever you can get him.

 

 

WIDE RECEIVER

Puka Nacua is by far the top Wide Receiver add for this week after posting 10 rec for 119 yards.His teammate Tutu Atwell had a great game as well putting up 119 yards himself on 6 catches. Both receivers should be scooped up this week. Other wide receivers I’m targeting are Rashid Shaheed, Robert Woods, and Zay Jones.

Robert Woods looks to be the clear go-to guy for CJ Stroud and will be very useful in fantasy this season. He should be a priority for those of you who need help at WR. There will be a lot of FAAB spent on Nacua, Atwell, and Shaheed. So if you want to play it smart, let your league fight for those guys while you get a trusty player in Robert Woods. Same goes for Zay Jones, Trevor Lawrence trusts him. He's going to get his targets no matter what.

 

 

TIGHT END

What a miserable week for the tight end position. Your top scorer was Hunter Henry. Of course, Travis Kelce and Mark Andews missed week 1 due to injury. This offseason I waited at the tight end position and targeted Hayden Hurst and Zach Ertz. I loved what I saw this weekend from those two pass catchers. Hurst is my top TE pickup for the week after posting 15.1 fantasy points on 5 rec for 41 yards and a touchdown. He is being featured in the Carolina offense and will be a weekly starter. 

The same goes for Zach Ertz after leading his team with 10 targets in Week 1. He ended the day with 6 receptions for only 21 yards, however he was targeted heavily in the red zone. If he would have caught one of those end zone targets, he would have finished in the top 3 for the week. With Tight End being so thin and unpredictable, Ertz is a definite target of mine. Go get Hurst and Ertz if you can.

IDP 101: The Dynasty Pros Way

by

IDP 101: The Dynasty Pros Way

by Bob Miller

 

IDP (Individual Defensive Player) leagues are growing more and more in popularity. If you are, or planning to play in an IDP League, now is the time to get familiar with:

  1. How to play
  2. How to prepare
  3. Who to target
  4. When to target certain players

If you have never played in an IDP league, they can be confusing if you just jump into one without knowing what you are getting yourself into. Here at Dynasty Pros Football, we have devised a scoring system that is currently used by thousands of IDP Leagues today. So, if you are starting a new league from scratch or are having trouble with calibrating your scoring system, feel free to use ours.

 

Dynasty Pros IDP Scoring Table:

Action Points Action Points
Tackle1Forced Fumble2
Assisted Tackle.5Fumble Recovery3
Sack4Defensive Touchdown6
Tackle for Loss3Blocked FG/Extra Point2
Interception5Blocked Punt2
Pass Defended1Safety4
Kick Return Yards.10 per yardPunt Return Yards.10 per yard

How to Play

The best place to start is knowing your IDP League scoring setup, and what positions are designated for each player. That then allows you to understand what players best fit your team. For example: Joey Bosa may be designated a LB in real life, but your fantasy league may designate him as a DE. That designation can drastically change how he is valued.

 

 

How to Prepare

The next step is to create a ranking system that is unique for you. One website may tell you one thing and another website may tell you another, so do your research and use what is best for you. We offer a well thought out ranking system, so take a look and see if it helps you.

https://dynastyprosfootball.com/defensive-lineman-rankings/

 

 

Who to Target and When to Target Them

This can be tricky, that is why it is important to do your research and understand your league’s player designation and scoring system.

 

 

Defensive Lineman

Elite defensive ends are where we would recommend you start, since there are very few of them. Our recommended scoring system rewards 4 points for a sack and 3 points for a tackle for loss. This makes players like Nick Bosa, Myles Garrett, and Maxx Crosby extremely valuable and possible league winners, so target them before you target guys at other defensive positions. One of the main focuses of an NFL Defense is pass rushing and sacks, as it should be in IDP Leagues as well.

 

 

Dual Eligible Edge Rushers

What's one of the most exciting plays on defense? Sacks, of course. So, if you are playing IDPs, then sacks need to be rewarded as well. Players like Micah Parsons and TJ Watt are far more valuable in the Dynasty Pros Scoring System. Some websites that rank IDPs may not even have them in their top 20 overall. That's crazy. How can a player like TJ Watt, the 2021 league leader in sacks (22.5) not be ranked as an elite IDP in other IDP rankings? Why even play with IDPs if you don't reward big plays?

Keep an eye on dual eligible players as you can use them as a defensive lineman or linebacker. That increases their value as well.

 

Linebackers

Linebackers are next. Make sure to rank your Linebackers in a tier ranking. This allows you to properly value them and know who you should target first. Tackles reward 1 point each and assisted tackles earn you .5 points. Linebackers Roquan Smith and Foyesade Oluokun are in Tier One (possibly the only LBs in tier one) and are considerably more valuable than Tier Two linebackers like Frankie Luvu and Nick Bolton. When drafting linebackers you'll want to target the ones who accumulate a lot of tackles. Those are mostly your inside linebackers.

 

 

Defensive Backs

Defensive Backs should be down on your list, unless someone like Derwin James, Jalen Pitre, or Marcus Jones are available. Safeties tend to be more rosterable over Cornerbacks in IDP leagues because of tackle opportunities.

Cornerbacks also have value in our scoring system as well with interceptions being 5 points and passes defended are 1 point each. Cornerbacks tend to be more "Hit or Miss" since they get less opportunities to make plays. Our scoring system also uses return yards, so defensive backs who are returners should be rostered.

 

New England Patriots Cornerback Marcus Jones was used in multiple ways last season and put up 190.5 fantasy points. He finished number one for all defensive backs. Let's take a look at his stats:

DEFENSIVE STATS

Tackles Tackles for Loss Passes Defended Interceptions Touchdowns
392721

OFFENSIVE STATS

Receptions Rec Yards TDs
4781

SPECIAL TEAMS STATS

Kick Returns Kick Return Yards TDs Punt Returns Punt Return Yards TDs
276450293621

As you see, Marcus Jones was used in many different ways. With our scoring setup, Jones piled up 190.5 fantasy points vs only 93.5 on Sleeper's default IDP settings. We should be getting those fantasy points.

As a matter of fact, last season five of our top ten scoring defensive backs were actually cornerbacks. Take a look:

 

  1. Marcus Jones, CB (190.5)
  2. Jalen Pitre, S (174)
  3. Demond King, CB (160.4)
  4. L'Jarius Sneed, CB (155.5)
  5. Keisean Nixon, CB (148.4)
  6. Isaiah Simmons, S (144.5)
  7. Rayshawn Jenkins, S (143.5)
  8. Jalen Ramsey, CB (143.5)
  9. Talanoa Hufanga, S (142)
  10. Donovan Wilson, S (141.5)

 

As you see above, cornerbacks provide plenty of value in our set up. If you choose to use our scoring, you can draft them with confidence.

 

 

I hope this article helps your IDP League. Be sure to keep up with defensive players in an IDP league as much as you would offensive players. There could be some studs left on the waiver wire if people aren't paying close enough attention. You could be a big time winner if you are keeping tabs.

Dynasty Dilemma: Jahmyr Gibbs

by

Dynasty Dilemma: Jahmyr Gibbs

 

It was quite the surprise to everyone that Jahmyr Gibbs was selected 12th overall by the Detroit Lions. Most mock drafts out there had only one running back (Bijan Robinson) going in the first round. In fact, there was a ton of speculation as to where Gibbs would end up. The most common rumor was the Philadelphia Eagles leaving the NFL Draft with Gibbs as part of their roster. I find it kind of funny how that didn’t happen, but the Eagles actually traded for D’Andre Swift, who Jahmyr Gibbs was drafted to replace. That was certainly an entertaining situation to watch unfold. Anyhow, I’m here to give you my thoughts on if you should consider trading for Gibbs in Dynasty, or if you should think about selling him.

 

 

REASON TO BUY

 

SKILL SET

Jahmyr Gibbs has all the tools to be a successful running back in the NFL. It starts with his burst. He has an extra gear that most running backs don’t, meaning he has the ability to leave his opponents in the dust when he hits the open field. You combine that with his superb vision, and you have yourself a deadly weapon on offense. He is an absolute threat to take it to the house each time he touches the ball.

 

PPR LEAGUES

His value only increases in PPR Leagues. Gibbs has been compared to Alvin Kamara, which I consider a great NFL Comp. I see a little of Austin Ekeler in him as well, which only makes all of these comparisons wonderful. If he can average between 6-8 receptions per game, he will be a top tier PPR asset. 

 

 

REASON TO SELL

 

DAVID MONTGOMERY

This one is obvious. After seeing how Jamaal Williams and D’Andre Swift were used in this offense, is it safe to say that we could see the same type of usage with David Montgomery and Jahmyr Gibbs? I mean, Montgomery is a very good running back, and he is still only 25 years old. For comparison’s sake, Jamaal Williams was 27 last year when he finished as the RB13 by putting up 226 fantasy points compared to 191 points from D’Andre Swift, who finished as the RB21. Swift did miss a couple of games as well. Just like Jamaal Williams, I say that David Montgomery could lead the NFL in touchdowns this coming season.

 

So here’s the question, should Montgomery be considered a high end RB2 or potentially even a back end RB1? 

I say yes.

 

Should Jahmyr Gibbs be considered more of an RB2 instead of an RB1? 

Again, I say yes.

 

DETROIT LIONS

Detroit just doesn’t produce fantasy RB1s. In fact, the last time the Lions had a running back finish inside the top 12 was way back in 2013 when Reggie Bush finished as the RB9. So we’re going on ten years now, and the Lions have two legit running backs to feed. Detroit seems to really like what they had last season using that two running back committee. So, with Montgomery and Gibbs sharing this backfield, I see no reason for them to change anytime soon. 

 

RETURN

If you selected Gibbs in your Rookie Draft, then you were probably picking between the 1.05-1.07. That means you were middle of the pack and almost made it into your fantasy playoffs. We all know, if you have the right players in the playoffs, you have a strong chance of making a deep run. So, if I’m a Gibbs owner, I’m looking to see if I can sell high and get a player like Christian McCaffrey, CeeDee Lamb, AJ Brown, or possibly Josh Jacobs straight up for him. In my opinion, as long as Montgomery is in the picture, those players should give you a better chance of winning a fantasy championship than Gibbs.

 

VERDICT

Unfortunately, I think that Gibbs owners will get frustrated at times, just like the D’Andre Swift owners were. Like I said, you’re really close to getting into the playoffs, so I would strongly consider trading Gibbs if you can get the right player or players in return. If you can get an elite asset that scores over 300+ fantasy points per season like McCaffrey, Lamb, Brown, or Jacobs you have to consider it. Gibbs may be more of a 200-240 player with Montgomery in the fold. With all that being said, DO NOT trade him unless you get an elite or top tier player in return.

 

SELL HIGH

8 Players to Buy Low & Sell High

by

8 Players to Buy Low & Sell High

 

We're right in the middle of Dynasty Season, and a trade is happening every minute it seems. I'm here to give you 8 players I'm looking to Sell High and Buy Low.

 

 

BUY LOW

 

Alexander Mattison: RB, Minnesota Vikings

June 1st is behind us, and time is running out. Dalvin Cook’s days seem to be numbered in Minnesota, setting up Alexander Mattison to be the team's RB1 moving forward. Head Coach Kevin O'Connell recently said Mattison's demonstration of "that all-three-down kind of ownership that he's been capable of for a long time." ESPN's Kevin Seifert said "all indications" point to the team using Mattison the same way they have when Cook has been sidelined with injury. In 2022, Dalvin Cook saw 74% of Minnesota's carries. After signing a two-year, $7 million deal with the Vikings in March, Mattison, 24, could be the primary back in a highly-productive Vikings offense this season. Mattison would be a steal and a possible league winner if/when Dalvin Cook is released. I’d certainly send out a rookie 2nd to the Mattison owner in your league, and see if he/she bites.

 

George Pickens: WR, Pittsburgh Steelers

I’m really surprised at how undervalued George Pickens is in Dynasty. I’ve been able to get him for a 2nd round rookie pick in a lot of leagues. I’ll take him over any wide receiver available in the 2nd. Picken has the potential to be the top receiving option in Pittsburgh’s offense, if he isn’t already. His big play ability and likely increased volume makes him a great candidate for a breakout player. If healthy, he should finish as a top 24 wide receiver this coming season. At age 22, I’ll take that all day.

 

Miles Sanders: RB, Carolina Panthers

Miles Sanders was recently named Carolina's RB1 by Head Coach Frank Reich. This is good news for Sanders’ owners everywhere. If you don’t own him in your Dynasty League, then you need to look at acquiring him ASAP. He is an excellent candidate to finish as a top 15-20 RB this coming season. If D’Onta Foreman can prove to be a fantasy asset in Carolina’s offense, imagine what Sanders will do.

 

Najee Harris: RB, Pittsburgh Steelers

Another target of mine is Najee Harris. His fantasy owners expected big things from him last season, and he came up short of those expectations. That means there’s a good possibility that Najee owners in your league could be frustrated with him. Keep in mind that he did finish as the RB14 and averaged over 15.00 fantasy points per game. I fully expect him to finish as a mid-to-back-end RB1 this coming season. I’m seeing him traded for a late 1st in rookie drafts. With that being the case, I’d much rather have Najee over the likes of Zach Charbonnet, Zay Flowers, or Kendre Miller in Dynasty Leagues. I’d easily trade Deebo Samuel, Davante Adams, or Derrick Henry, and a 3rd round rookie pick straight up for him. He’s an RB1 that you can get for an RB2 price. Take advantage. 

 

 

SELL HIGH

 

Kenneth Walker III: RB, Seattle Seahawks

The running back situation in Seattle concerns me. I’m not so sure that the Seahawks are very confident in Kenneth Walker III. If they were, why would they spend a 2nd round pick on another running back in Zach Charbonnet? In fact, we have covered this very topic in several shows and articles. Randal Kennedy wrote about this backfield situation recently as well. Check it out here:

https://dynastyprosfootball.com/backfield-breakdown-seattle-seahawks/

I’m shopping Kenneth Walker if I own him. This situation reminds me too much of the Rashaad Penny/Chris Carson headache. Head Coach Pete Carroll is so unpredictable, and that is why I’m trying to get top dollar for Kenneth Walker while I can.

 

Deebo Samuel: WR, San Francisco 49ers

Deebo Samuel is a player I am definitely selling high while I can. Everyone knows his potential, and that’s what I’m pushing when I shop him. Here’s the reality: He averaged a career-low 48.6 receiving yards per game last season. He doesn’t get heavy target volume either (7.2 targets per game last year), and his average depth of target in 2022 was just 4.4 yards. His value always had been impacted due to his rushing numbers. I just don’t see that having much of an impact moving forward. That has everything to do with Christian McCaffrey and Elijah Mitchell. The rushing volume just isn’t going to be there for Deebo to be the “Deebo” that we’re a custom to. For that reason I’d trade him straight up for a younger wide receiver like DeVonta Smith, Jordan Addison, or Jaxon Smith-Njigba.

 

Dalvin Cook: RB, Minnesota Vikings

This is a no-brainer. Dalvin Cook’s days in Minnesota are numbered, and he could be released at any time. You’re not going to get top dollar for Dalvin any longer, but time is running out to get anything of value. I’m shopping him for another running back. I recommend packaging him with a 2nd or 3rd round rookie pick to get a player like JK Dobbins, David Montgomery, or Rhamondre Stevenson. If he is released before you can move him, be patient. He is rumored to be on the Dolphin’s wish list. So if/when he signs with another club, his value should spike some. Strike up a deal at that time while he is trending.

 

Rookie Pick 1.01

If your Rookie Draft is coming up, and you earned the 1.01 the old fashioned way, then you should be shopping the pick. I know that Bijan Robinson has all the hype in the world, however you can get a haul for him right now. Keep in mind that if you earned the 1.01 pick because of record, then you’re probably not a “Bijan Robinson” away from competing for your league’s championship. Our own Darren Smith wrote about this situation recently. It’s a great read. You can check it out here:

https://dynastyprosfootball.com/dynasty-dilemma-rookie-pick-1-01/

So, if you have that 1.01 you should be considering all options to set your team up for years to come.