July 23, 2024

Stefon Diggs traded the the Texans: 3 Fantasy Questions

4 min read

Breaking News: Buffalo Bills trade Stefon Diggs to the Houston Texans

 

Stefon Diggs

 

Although the news out of Buffalo regarding Stefon Diggs has been tumultuous, I believed the Bills would work things out for the betterment of the team and the chance to win a Super Bowl.

Instead, the smoke around Diggs’ unhappiness turned into FIRE, and we saw the Pro Bowl wide receiver trade to the HOTTEST team in the NFL, the Houston Texans. With the trade, we ask three fantasy questions that fantasy managers need to answer.

 

 

In fantasy football, what do managers do with Stefon Diggs in 2024?

For those playing in redraft formats, the move to the Houston Texans helps improve Diggs’ value. The rumors that he may fall in drafts due to his inconsistency are now erased. Diggs will return to the late second or early third round with this move.

Diggs has been a Top-10 wide receiver in PPR formats in five out of his last six seasons. My one concern is the number of targets for Diggs to be a Top-10 receiver.

2023: 160        2022: 156        2021: 163        2020: 166        2019 (not Top 10): 94        2018: 149

 

With Tank Dell (75 targets in 11 games), Nico Collins (109 targets in 15 games and Top 12), Noah Brown (55 targets in 10 games), Robert Woods (75 targets in 14 games), and Dalton Schultz (88 targets in 15 games), the Houston Texans now have a lot of “mouths to feed.”

There are likely still moves to be made before the start of the 2024 season. However, I don’t see Stefon Diggs demanding over 120 targets in this offense. His overall stats will decrease, and I am not confident that he is worth a second-round pick unless Diggs becomes hyper-efficient and becomes the primary option in the red zone for CJ Stroud.

In Dynasty formats, “win-now” teams are jumping for joy. You will sit on his value and hope he returns WR2 stats. If you are rebuilding, target teams in “win-now” mode and let them compete to acquire Diggs.

Patience is your friend in high-profile trades that, on paper, improve a player’s value in fantasy football. Just post that you are taking offers and let them outbid each other.

For those “win-now” teams that do not currently own Diggs, I would not try to acquire him. Unless you can pry him away for little long-term impact to your team. 

 

 

Does the acquisition of Diggs now solidify CJ Stroud as a Top 5 Dynasty QB?

By most metrics, Stroud was a fringe Top 5 QB before the trade, with Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes, Lamar Jackson, Jalen Hurts, and Joe Burrow ahead of him. With the trade, I wouldn’t be surprised to see many fantasy managers placing Stroud inside their Top 5 (either bumping Jalen Hurts or Joe Burrow down, or both).

At this point, acquiring CJ Stroud will be difficult. I am never one to advise acquiring a player where his value is peaking like Stroud’s is right now. So, at this point, you have to decide if his value is NOT peaking and if he is still on an upward trajectory.

As for being the first pick in superflex drafts, it would be hard to argue with the choice. Josh Allen has to take a minor hit now that he has to acclimate to a new wide receiver group. Patrick Mahomes is a beast, but he may lose Rashee Rice for a few games (car crash and fleeing the scene). Lamar Jackson is the lone challenger to the title of superflex 1.01.

However, the addition of Derrick Henry may vulture a few touchdowns away from Jackson. Stroud is young and talented, and his team is putting all their chips in to surround him with players to make him better. If I were in a superflex draft today and had the first pick, I would select CJ Stroud with little hesitation.

 

 

How does the trade of Stefon Diggs affect Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills?

In the short term, this drops Josh Allen’s value by two or three spots. The Buffalo Bills will rebuild their wide receiver room now that Khalil Shakir is the only significant receiver left. It is good for the Buffalo Bills that this year’s draft is stocked with receivers primed for an immediate impact.

Although I had not mocked a receiver to Buffalo in previous iterations, I ran a quick mock and found AD Mitchell, Ladd McConkey, Troy Franklin, and Keon Coleman all available to them at pick 28.

If the Bills bypass a receiver in the first round, at pick 60 in the second round, players like Ja’lynn Polk, Devontez Walker, Javon Baker, and Jalen McMillan should be available. And, a move up by the Bills to be in place to draft a receiver like Brian Thomas or Xavier Worthy is reasonable, too.

I fully expect the Bills also to address the position through free agency. Currently, the best free agents available are DJ Chark, Odell Beckham Jr., and Hunter Renfrow.

Could the Bills now turn their attention to disgruntled Cincinnati Bengal receiver Tee Higgins? It’s definitely worth monitoring. A move like acquiring Higgins would reestablish Josh Allen as the premier fantasy quarterback with a new #1 in place.

The NFL is never boring, and it is worth monitoring, as the term “off-season” no longer exists in the NFL.

 


Thanks for reading my ‘3 Fantasy Questions’ on the trade of Stefon Diggs. Look for more articles on Dynasty Pros and watch for my thoughts on Twitter/X @JGoody77 and @DynastyProsFF.


 

Check out more Free Agent and Trades that impacted Fantasy Football:

Derrick Henry signs with Baltimore: 3 Fantasy Impacts

Mike Williams Signing: Fantasy Impact

Justin Fields traded to the Steelers: 3 Fantasy Questions